Cruising Through School: General Equilibrium Effects of Cruise Ship Arrivals on Employment and Education

Ryan McWay
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Abstract

Cruise tourism is the fastest-growing branch of the tourism sector, and many have turned to it as a development strategy despite little systematic evidence of its equilibrium effects. I match 10.6 million automatic identification system (AIS) locations from 517 cruise ships arriving in 265 port destinations to 355,463 Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) women’s surveys in 23 countries to estimate cruise tourism’s relationship with women’s labor market participation and educational attainment. Using fixed effects to identify changes in tourism over time, I estimate that doubling cruise ship arrivals is associated with a 4.9-percentage point increase in labor participation and one-quarter more years of education. These results would be consistent with port cities offering more job opportunities for older women and increased opportunity and available income for education, possibly in anticipation of improved employment prospects. JEL Classifications : D50, I00, J21, O12, Z32
游船巡游学校:游船到达对就业和教育的一般均衡效应
邮轮旅游是旅游业中发展最快的一个分支,许多人已经把它作为一种发展战略,尽管很少有系统的证据表明它的平衡效应。我将到达265个港口目的地的517艘游轮的1060万个自动识别系统(AIS)位置与23个国家的355,463个人口与健康调查(DHS)妇女调查相匹配,以估计邮轮旅游与妇女劳动力市场参与和受教育程度的关系。使用固定效应来确定旅游业随时间的变化,我估计邮轮抵达人数翻一番与劳动参与率增加4.9个百分点和受教育年限增加四分之一有关。这些结果与港口城市为老年妇女提供更多就业机会和增加教育机会和可用收入的情况是一致的,这可能是由于预期就业前景会有所改善。JEL分类:D50, I00, J21, O12, Z32
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