Twierdzenie Bayesa w projektowaniu strategii diagnostycznych w medycynie

Abstract

The paper will compare two methods used in the design of diagnostic strategies. The first one is a method that precises predictive value of diagnostic tests. The second one is based on the use of Bayes’ theorem. The main aim of this article is to identify the epistemological assumptions underlying both of these  methods. For the purpose of this objective, example projects of one and multi-stage diagnostic strategy developed using both methods will be considered.