THE ROLE OF EPIDEMIC MODELLING IN POLICYMAKING AND THE CASES OF SARS AND COVID-19

Q3 Pharmacology, Toxicology and Pharmaceutics

Vojenske Zdravotnicke Listy Pub Date : 2021-04-22 DOI:10.31482/MMSL.2021.016

C. Artico, V. Bostik

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Over the past two decades, the world has witnessed the onset of three different coronaviruses: severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus (SARS-CoV), Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) and the current severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Each of these has resulted in features that have made it in some ways stronger than the previous one. Predictive epidemic models are widely recognised as one of the most reliable and valuable tools to help policymakers take decisions regarding the management of sanitary crises and have been helping governments by calculating potential consequences and benefits of related containment measures. A comparison of epidemic models that were elaborated on SARS-CoV, which caused severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS), and on SARS-CoV-2, which is currently causing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) will lead to an overview of the potential reasons why the current one has led the world into an ongoing pandemic, while the other two remained relatively delimited. © 2021, University of Defence, Faculty of Military Health Sciences. All rights reserved.

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流行病模型在决策中的作用与SARS和新冠肺炎病例

在过去二十年中，世界上发生了三种不同的冠状病毒:严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒(SARS-CoV)、中东呼吸综合征冠状病毒(MERS-CoV)和当前的严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2 (SARS-CoV-2)。每一个都产生了一些功能，使它在某些方面比前一个更强大。预测流行病模型被广泛认为是帮助决策者就卫生危机管理作出决定的最可靠和最有价值的工具之一，并一直在帮助各国政府计算相关遏制措施的潜在后果和效益。对导致严重急性呼吸系统综合症(SARS)的SARS- cov和目前导致冠状病毒病2019 (COVID-19)的SARS- cov -2阐述的流行病模型进行比较，可以概述当前导致世界陷入持续大流行的潜在原因，而其他两个模型仍然相对有限。©2021，国防大学，军事健康科学学院。版权所有。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Vojenske Zdravotnicke Listy Health Professions-Emergency Medical Services

CiteScore

1.00

自引率

0.00%

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