Fire Incidents, Trends, and Risk Mitigation Framework of Electrical Vehicle Cars in Australia

IF 3 3区 农林科学 Q2 ECOLOGY
M. Hassan, Nazra Hameed, Md. Delwar Hossain, Md Rayhan Hasnat, Grahame Douglas, S. Pathirana, P. Rahnamayiezekavat, S. Saha
{"title":"Fire Incidents, Trends, and Risk Mitigation Framework of Electrical Vehicle Cars in Australia","authors":"M. Hassan, Nazra Hameed, Md. Delwar Hossain, Md Rayhan Hasnat, Grahame Douglas, S. Pathirana, P. Rahnamayiezekavat, S. Saha","doi":"10.3390/fire6080325","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Electric Vehicles (EVs) offer a promising solution to reduce the environmental impact compared to internal combustion engine vehicles. However, EV adoption in Australia has been hindered by concerns over fire safety. This study aims to comprehensively analyse EV fire risks and trends in Australia, including those related to charging stations and lithium-ion batteries. The research utilises secondary data from various reputable sources to develop statistical forecasting models, which estimate that Australia will have approximately 1.73 million EVs by 2030 and 15.8 million by 2050. The study reveals an average EV fire frequency of six fires per million EVs in Australia, aligning with the global average. Consequently, Australia is expected to experience 9 to 10 EV fire incidents annually in 2030, 37 to 42 EV fire incidents annually in 2040, and 84 to 95 EV fire incidents annually in 2050. To address these risks, an EV fire risk control framework is considered to identify and recommend appropriate measures for life safety, lithium-ion batteries, charging, EV handling, and EV locations. This research provides vital evidence for regulators, policymakers, and the fire industry to effectively manage EV fire risks and enhance preparedness for the growing EV market in Australia.","PeriodicalId":36395,"journal":{"name":"Fire-Switzerland","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.0000,"publicationDate":"2023-08-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Fire-Switzerland","FirstCategoryId":"97","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.3390/fire6080325","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ECOLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1

Abstract

Electric Vehicles (EVs) offer a promising solution to reduce the environmental impact compared to internal combustion engine vehicles. However, EV adoption in Australia has been hindered by concerns over fire safety. This study aims to comprehensively analyse EV fire risks and trends in Australia, including those related to charging stations and lithium-ion batteries. The research utilises secondary data from various reputable sources to develop statistical forecasting models, which estimate that Australia will have approximately 1.73 million EVs by 2030 and 15.8 million by 2050. The study reveals an average EV fire frequency of six fires per million EVs in Australia, aligning with the global average. Consequently, Australia is expected to experience 9 to 10 EV fire incidents annually in 2030, 37 to 42 EV fire incidents annually in 2040, and 84 to 95 EV fire incidents annually in 2050. To address these risks, an EV fire risk control framework is considered to identify and recommend appropriate measures for life safety, lithium-ion batteries, charging, EV handling, and EV locations. This research provides vital evidence for regulators, policymakers, and the fire industry to effectively manage EV fire risks and enhance preparedness for the growing EV market in Australia.
澳大利亚电动汽车火灾事件、趋势和风险缓解框架
与内燃机汽车相比,电动汽车为减少对环境的影响提供了一个很有前途的解决方案。然而,由于对消防安全的担忧,电动汽车在澳大利亚的普及受到了阻碍。本研究旨在全面分析澳大利亚的电动汽车火灾风险和趋势,包括与充电站和锂离子电池相关的风险和趋势。该研究利用来自各种可靠来源的二手数据来开发统计预测模型,估计到2030年澳大利亚将拥有约173万辆电动汽车,到2050年将拥有1580万辆。该研究显示,澳大利亚每百万辆电动汽车的平均起火频率为6起,与全球平均水平一致。因此,预计到2030年,澳大利亚每年将发生9至10起电动汽车火灾事件,2040年每年将发生37至42起电动汽车火灾事件,到2050年每年将发生84至95起电动汽车火灾事件。为了解决这些风险,我们考虑了电动汽车火灾风险控制框架,以确定并建议适当的生命安全措施、锂离子电池、充电、电动汽车处理和电动汽车位置。这项研究为监管机构、政策制定者和消防行业有效管理电动汽车火灾风险,并为澳大利亚不断增长的电动汽车市场做好准备提供了重要证据。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
求助全文
约1分钟内获得全文 求助全文
来源期刊
Fire-Switzerland
Fire-Switzerland Multiple-
CiteScore
3.10
自引率
15.60%
发文量
182
审稿时长
11 weeks
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术官方微信