Climate Change and Extreme Temperature Trends in the Baja California Peninsula, Mexico

IF 3.5 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Air Soil and Water Research Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI:10.1177/11786221211010702

P. Martínez-Austria, José Alejandro Jano-Pérez

引用次数: 6

Abstract

Climate change is one of the greatest threats that our civilization is facing because increases in extreme temperatures severely affect humans, the economy, and ecosystems. General circulation models, which adequately predict climate change around the world, are less accurate at regional levels. Therefore, trends must be locally assessed, particularly in regions such as the Baja California Peninsula, which is a thin mass of land surrounded by the Pacific Ocean and the Gulf of California. Herein, we discuss extreme temperature trends in the Baja California Peninsula and whether they are statistically significant based on the Spearman’s nonparametric statistical test. For these purposes, 18 weather stations covering the entire region were analyzed, revealing that maximum temperatures for the hottest months are rising at a rate that is consistent with the RCP 8.5 scenario. Changes in minimum temperatures were also analyzed.

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墨西哥下加利福尼亚半岛的气候变化和极端温度趋势

气候变化是我们文明面临的最大威胁之一，因为极端温度的升高严重影响人类、经济和生态系统。能够充分预测世界各地气候变化的大环流模型在区域层面上的准确性较差。因此，必须对趋势进行局部评估，特别是在下加利福尼亚半岛等地区，下加利福尼亚半岛是一片被太平洋和加利福尼亚湾包围的薄土地。在此，我们讨论了下加利福尼亚半岛的极端温度趋势，以及基于Spearman非参数统计检验，这些趋势是否具有统计学意义。为此，对覆盖整个地区的18个气象站进行了分析，结果表明，最热月份的最高气温正在以与RCP 8.5情景一致的速度上升。还分析了最低温度的变化。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Air Soil and Water Research ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES-

CiteScore

7.80

自引率

5.30%

发文量

审稿时长

8 weeks

期刊介绍： Air, Soil & Water Research is an open access, peer reviewed international journal covering all areas of research into soil, air and water. The journal looks at each aspect individually, as well as how they interact, with each other and different components of the environment. This includes properties (including physical, chemical, biochemical and biological), analysis, microbiology, chemicals and pollution, consequences for plants and crops, soil hydrology, changes and consequences of change, social issues, and more. The journal welcomes readerships from all fields, but hopes to be particularly profitable to analytical and water chemists and geologists as well as chemical, environmental, petrochemical, water treatment, geophysics and geological engineers. The journal has a multi-disciplinary approach and includes research, results, theory, models, analysis, applications and reviews. Work in lab or field is applicable. Of particular interest are manuscripts relating to environmental concerns. Other possible topics include, but are not limited to: Properties and analysis covering all areas of research into soil, air and water individually as well as how they interact with each other and different components of the environment Soil hydrology and microbiology Changes and consequences of environmental change, chemicals and pollution.