An Econometric Validation of Malthusian Theory: Evidence in Nigeria

Signifikan Pub Date : 2018-01-12 DOI:10.15408/sjie.v7i1.6461
M. Sakanko, J. David
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引用次数: 6

Abstract

Rising population is an asset, provided, the skills of the workforce are used to the maximum extent. If not appropriately channelized, it can be a liability for a nation. A skilled and hardworking population can emerge as a foundation for a country’s development. This study examines the validity of Malthusian Theory in Nigeria using time series data from 1960 to 2016, employs the ARDL bound test techniques. The result shows that in the long-run, population growth and food production move proportionately, while population growth poses a depleting effect on food production in the short-run, thus validating the incidence of Malthusian impact in Nigerian economy in the short-run. The researcher recommended the government should strategize plans, which will further intensify family planning and birth control measure, compulsory western education and revitalization of the agricultural sector. DOI: 10.150408/sjie.v7i1.6461
马尔萨斯理论的计量经济学验证:以尼日利亚为例
如果劳动力的技能得到最大程度的利用,不断增长的人口是一种资产。如果不适当地引导,它可能成为一个国家的负担。有技能和勤劳的人口可以成为一个国家发展的基础。本研究使用1960 - 2016年的时间序列数据,采用ARDL约束检验技术,检验马尔萨斯理论在尼日利亚的有效性。结果表明,从长期来看,人口增长与粮食生产成正比变动,而人口增长在短期内对粮食生产产生消耗效应,从而验证了马尔萨斯效应在尼日利亚经济中的短期发生率。研究人员建议政府应该制定战略计划,进一步加强计划生育和计划生育措施,义务教育和农业部门的振兴。DOI: 10.150408 / sjie.v7i1.6461
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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审稿时长
8 weeks
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