{"title":"Does more intelligent trading strategy win? Interacting trading strategies: an agent-based approach","authors":"Hidayet Beyhan, Burç Ulengin","doi":"10.37380/jisib.v12i3.929","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"An artificial financial market is built on top of the Genoa Artificial Stock Market. The market is populated with agents having different trading strategies and they are let to interact with each other. Agents differ in the trading method they use to trade, and they are grouped as noise, technical, statistical analysis, and machine learning traders. The model is validated by the replication of stylized facts in financial asset returns. We were able to replicate the leptokurtic shape of the probability density function, volatility clustering, and the absence of autocorrelation in asset returns. The wealth dynamics for each agent group are analyzed throughout the trading period. Agents with a higher time complexity trading strategy outperform those with a strategy comparing their final wealth.","PeriodicalId":43580,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Intelligence Studies in Business","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.9000,"publicationDate":"2023-03-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Intelligence Studies in Business","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.37380/jisib.v12i3.929","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"BUSINESS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
An artificial financial market is built on top of the Genoa Artificial Stock Market. The market is populated with agents having different trading strategies and they are let to interact with each other. Agents differ in the trading method they use to trade, and they are grouped as noise, technical, statistical analysis, and machine learning traders. The model is validated by the replication of stylized facts in financial asset returns. We were able to replicate the leptokurtic shape of the probability density function, volatility clustering, and the absence of autocorrelation in asset returns. The wealth dynamics for each agent group are analyzed throughout the trading period. Agents with a higher time complexity trading strategy outperform those with a strategy comparing their final wealth.
期刊介绍:
The Journal of Intelligence Studies in Business (JISIB) is a double blinded peer reviewed open access journal published by Halmstad University, Sweden. Its mission is to help facilitate and publish original research, conference proceedings and book reviews. The journal includes articles within areas such as Competitive Intelligence, Business Intelligence, Market Intelligence, Scientific and Technical Intelligence, Collective Intelligence and Geo-economics. This means that the journal has a managerial as well as an applied technical side (Information Systems), as these are now well integrated in real life Business Intelligence solutions. By focusing on business applications the journal do not compete directly with journals of Library Sciences or State or Military Intelligence Studies. Topics within the selected study areas should show clear practical implications.