Temporal Variabilities of the Climate along the Mauritanian Coast over the Last Decades

A. Littaye, Sidi Mohamed Boba, S. Ahmed
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

Climate conditions affect all socio-economic spheres due to changes in the natural environment either in a geomorphological aspect or natural resources and biodiversity. The Sahelo-Saharan region has been subject to a very large number of climate studies after the main hazard of the 20th century that is called the “Great Drought” . Studies that focused on Mauritania and more specifically on its marine and coastal area, are very few whereas the government policies on this coastal area have been on the increase. The challenges of development are crucial such as the sustainability of the fishing sector, natural resources and infrastructures for example the projects of two new on-going harbor projects. Another issue is the biodiversity world heritage that is present in this coastal area and perhaps in future, will be the tourism sector. Flood prevention for Nouakchott city which also represents a national challenge has been subject to studies. Several climate parameters have been studied with an ecological approach. The aim was to identify the different temporalities of variation of climate in the perspective to compare with environmental changes. The study parameters have been selected with regard to their link with marine or coastal processes. The data used are from the synoptic weather stations of Nouadhibou and Nouakchott managed by the National Meteorological Office, ONM. The study period covers the four to seven last decades according the availability of data series. This period allows one to characterize the current situation and then, discs the future at. short to medium termes when regarding the projections from the Inter-governmental Permanent expert group for Climate Change and the national results reshaped by the ONM by IPCC et al. in 2014. This multi-decadal time scale corresponds to the one giving for strategy development. The periodic and cyclic temporalities of variation have been revealed dominant. The air temperature is the only parameter which shows a long-term trend. The current deficit in easter lies appears to be the cause of the drastic increase in the vulnerability of the coast and islands to natural hazards. Such a situation has already occurred in the 1970s but the concerns about consequences have totally changed with development patterns and the advances in scientific knowledge. The seasonal to multi-decadal time scales of the study bring new insight on the current situation. The results also clarify certain on-going change in environment.
过去几十年毛里塔尼亚海岸气候的时间变化
由于地貌或自然资源和生物多样性方面的自然环境变化,气候条件影响到所有社会经济领域。在20世纪被称为“大干旱”的主要灾害发生后,萨赫勒-撒哈拉地区受到了大量气候研究的影响。对毛里塔尼亚,特别是其海洋和沿海地区的研究很少,而政府对该沿海地区的政策一直在增加。发展的挑战至关重要,例如渔业、自然资源和基础设施的可持续性,例如两个正在进行的新港口项目。另一个问题是这个沿海地区的生物多样性世界遗产,也许在未来,将是旅游业。努瓦克肖特市的防洪也是一项全国性的挑战,目前正在进行研究。已经用生态学方法研究了几个气候参数。目的是从与环境变化进行比较的角度来确定气候变化的不同时间性。研究参数是根据其与海洋或沿海过程的联系而选择的。使用的数据来自国家气象局管理的努瓦迪布和努瓦克肖特的天气气象站。根据数据系列的可用性,研究期涵盖了过去的四至七十年。在这一时期,人们可以描述当前的情况,然后在政府间气候变化常设专家组的预测和2014年气候变化专门委员会(ONM)和IPCC等人重塑的国家成果方面,从中短期预测未来。这个几十年的时间尺度对应于战略制定的时间尺度。变化的周期性和周期性暂时性已被揭示为占主导地位。气温是唯一显示长期趋势的参数。目前东部地区的不足似乎是海岸和岛屿对自然灾害的脆弱性急剧增加的原因。这种情况在20世纪70年代就已经发生了,但随着发展模式和科学知识的进步,对后果的担忧已经完全改变。该研究的季节性到数十年的时间尺度为当前的情况带来了新的见解。研究结果还阐明了环境中某些正在发生的变化。
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