Ibnu Nurul Huda , Sébastien Lambert , Jean Souchay
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引用次数: 1
Abstract
This paper investigates the correlation between tidal stress and earthquakes for periods ranging from hours to months in the limited zone of the Palu region (Central Sulawesi, Indonesia). Through Schuster and binomial tests, we examined the relation between the seismicity (time density of seismic events) and tidal potential arising from the Moon and Sun, using all tidal components simultaneously and focusing on the estimation of specific terms. The results show significant correlations between the seismicity and tidal potential for S2 (0.5 d) and O1 (1.075 d) tidal components in the case of solely isolated earthquake events, particularly for shallow earthquakes. Meanwhile, there is a strong relationship between aftershocks and tidal components larger than the Mf period (13.661 d). Finally, the analysis of the temporal variation of the earthquake-tide relation reveals an optimal correlation for about six years before the 2018 great Palu earthquake. The correlation becomes insignificant afterwards.
期刊介绍:
Geodesy and Geodynamics launched in October, 2010, and is a bimonthly publication. It is sponsored jointly by Institute of Seismology, China Earthquake Administration, Science Press, and another six agencies. It is an international journal with a Chinese heart. Geodesy and Geodynamics is committed to the publication of quality scientific papers in English in the fields of geodesy and geodynamics from authors around the world. Its aim is to promote a combination between Geodesy and Geodynamics, deepen the application of Geodesy in the field of Geoscience and quicken worldwide fellows'' understanding on scientific research activity in China. It mainly publishes newest research achievements in the field of Geodesy, Geodynamics, Science of Disaster and so on. Aims and Scope: new theories and methods of geodesy; new results of monitoring and studying crustal movement and deformation by using geodetic theories and methods; new ways and achievements in earthquake-prediction investigation by using geodetic theories and methods; new results of crustal movement and deformation studies by using other geologic, hydrological, and geophysical theories and methods; new results of satellite gravity measurements; new development and results of space-to-ground observation technology.