Civilizational Cycles and Economic Development in the Context of Technological Transitions and Global Pandemics

IF 1.2 Q3 ECONOMICS

Montenegrin Journal of Economics Pub Date : 2022-09-15 DOI:10.14254/1800-5845/2022.18-4.16

S. Kozlovskyi

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引用次数: 7

Abstract

The study of theories of civilizational cycles under modern economic conditions is becoming increasingly important. Humanity can discern that long-term forecasts to a certain extent comply with theories of cyclical development. The issue of proving that the iteration of civilizational cycles in historical retrospect may correspond to their recurrence of the Fibonacci series remains open. The objective of the study is to do research into the wave theory in terms of economic development;to determine whether it is possible to apply the "principle of the golden ratio" based on the Fibonacci series;to explain how civilizational cycles are formed in the context of technological transitions;to identify patterns and characteristics of these fluctuations;to describe trends of further economic fluctuations. The object of study are economic relations in the context of civilization development, and their impact on of education, culture and personal freedom. Using the methodology of the Fibonacci numbers, namely, the rule of the golden ratio revealed the patterns of large economic fluctuations, explained the reasons for accelerating the pace of cyclicality and made a forecast of their further development. The results of the study allowed to claim that the current decade is decisive in terms of forming a new civilizational cycle of economic development. It is proved that the trend of the new cycle of civilization will be determined by the symbiosis of a human and artificial intelligence. © 2022, Economic Laboratory for Transition Research. All rights reserved.

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技术转型和全球流行病背景下的文明周期和经济发展

研究现代经济条件下的文明循环理论正变得越来越重要。人类可以看出，长期预测在一定程度上符合周期性发展理论。在历史回顾中证明文明周期的迭代可能与斐波那契数列的重复相对应的问题仍然悬而未决。本研究的目的是从经济发展的角度对波动理论进行研究；以确定是否有可能应用基于斐波那契数列的“黄金比例原理”；解释文明周期是如何在技术转型的背景下形成的；识别这些波动的模式和特征；以描述经济进一步波动的趋势。研究对象是文明发展背景下的经济关系及其对教育、文化和人身自由的影响。运用斐波那契数的方法论，即黄金比率法则揭示了经济大波动的规律，解释了加快周期性步伐的原因，并对其进一步发展进行了预测。这项研究的结果表明，就形成新的经济发展文明周期而言，当前十年是决定性的。事实证明，人类与人工智能的共生关系将决定新一轮文明的走向。©2022，转型研究经济实验室。保留所有权利。

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来源期刊

Montenegrin Journal of Economics ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

3.90

自引率

0.00%

发文量

审稿时长

17 weeks

期刊介绍： “Montenegrin Journal of Economics” is an international scientific periodical, issued by NGO “Economic Laboratory for Transition Research” (ELIT) Podgorica, Montenegro. It publishes theoretical, empirical and applicative articles from all the areas of Economics. The journal is issued four times a year. Montenegrin Journal of Economics aspires to educate the widest public on contemporary research and achievements in various areas of economics and to expend the boundaries of economic knowledge. Montenegrin Journal of Economics aims to publish innovative, straightforward, challenging, analytical and review articles on economic phenomena, events and changes . The journal''s content aspires to be actual, relevant and interesting to a wide readership of economic specialties,. This includes publishing the articles of authors from various universities and schools of economics worldwide and their mutual cooperation. Areas of research include, but are not limited to, the following: Economic Theory, International Economics, and Transition Issues.