About Relationship between Education, Investment and Growth:Identification and Causality for 5 MENA Countries - (Algeria-Egypt-Morocco-Tunisia and Turkey)

Mohamed Bouhari, M. Soussi
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

This paper investigates causality direction between education, material investment and economic growth in a panel of five MENA countries (Algeria, Egypt, Morocco, Tunisia and Turkey) during1975 to 2014. Specifics results by country will be identified about the direction of causality between the three variables. In empirical estimations we used Ganger causality tests, variance decomposition and impulse response functions to a panel data framework through the Arellano- Bond difference GMM estimator. First, we identify a causal relationship between education and economic growth as well as between education and investment. In addition, we found that the education causes economic growth after three years whereas economic growth causes the education after only one year. The results also confirm a transmission mechanism that runs from education to economic growth through material investment. This shows that increases in human capital should boost the return on physical investment. Consequently, sustaining economic growth can be performed by investment and education. Finely, according to the results we approve that emphasizing on physical investment instead of sufficient care on human capital investments is not the better way to achieve growth at medium and long run.
教育、投资与增长的关系:5个中东和北非国家(阿尔及利亚-埃及-摩洛哥-突尼斯和土耳其)的识别和因果关系
本文调查了1975年至2014年间中东和北非地区五个国家(阿尔及利亚、埃及、摩洛哥、突尼斯和土耳其)的教育、物质投资和经济增长之间的因果关系。具体结果将按国家确定三个变量之间的因果关系方向。在经验估计中,我们通过Arellano-Bond差分GMM估计量,将Ganger因果关系检验、方差分解和脉冲响应函数用于面板数据框架。首先,我们确定了教育与经济增长以及教育与投资之间的因果关系。此外,我们发现教育导致三年后的经济增长,而经济增长只导致一年后的教育。研究结果还证实了一种通过物质投资从教育到经济增长的传导机制。这表明,人力资本的增加应该会提高实物投资的回报率。因此,可持续的经济增长可以通过投资和教育来实现。好吧,根据我们认可的结果,强调实物投资而不是充分关注人力资本投资并不是实现中长期增长的更好方式。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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