Modelling landscape management scenarios for equitable and sustainable futures in rural areas based on ecosystem services

IF 5.3 Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences

Ecosystems and People Pub Date : 2022-01-23 DOI:10.1080/26395916.2021.2021288

M. Felipe‐Lucia, Angel de Frutos, F. Comín

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引用次数: 7

Abstract

ABSTRACT Scenario analysis is a useful technique to inform landscape planning of social-ecological systems by modelling future trends in ecosystem service supply and distribution. This is especially critical in floodplain agroecosystems of rural areas, which are at risk of losing riparian forest corridors due to increasing land use conversion for agricultural production and other ecosystem services due to rural abandonment. However, few studies investigating the effects of land management combine social and ecological modelling in scenario analyses. We estimated the supply of 16 ecosystem services under five alternative scenarios along two gradients: agricultural intensification of the floodplain and active ecological restoration of the riparian forest. We used redundancy analyses to detect ecosystem service bundles and interviews to identify societal gains and losses associated with each management scenario. Our results show how land management influences both the supply and distribution of ecosystem services. Scenarios promoting active ecological restoration supplied more services and benefited a larger range of societal sectors than scenarios focused on provisioning services. We also found two consistent bundles across scenarios, one related to less intensive food supply and another one related to outdoor activities. Interestingly, additional services were included in these bundles in the different scenarios, reflecting land management effects. Landscape scale management promoting both the conservation of ecosystem functioning and the sustainable use of provisioning services could supply a more balanced set of ecosystem services and benefit a larger number of societal sectors, contributing to more equitable and sustainable futures in rural areas. Graphical abstract

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基于生态系统服务的农村地区公平和可持续未来的景观管理情景建模

通过模拟生态系统服务供给和分配的未来趋势，情景分析是一种为社会生态系统景观规划提供信息的有用技术。这对农村地区的洪泛区农业生态系统尤其重要，由于农村被遗弃导致越来越多的土地用于农业生产和其他生态系统服务，这些地区面临失去河岸森林走廊的风险。然而，很少有研究在情景分析中结合社会和生态模型来调查土地管理的影响。我们估计了河漫滩农业集约化和河岸森林主动生态恢复这两种梯度下5种不同情景下的16种生态系统服务供给。我们使用冗余分析来检测生态系统服务包和访谈来确定与每个管理方案相关的社会收益和损失。我们的研究结果显示了土地管理如何影响生态系统服务的供应和分配。与侧重于提供服务的情景相比，促进主动生态恢复的情景提供了更多的服务，并使更广泛的社会部门受益。我们还在不同的场景中发现了两个一致的捆绑包，一个与不那么密集的食物供应有关，另一个与户外活动有关。有趣的是，在不同的场景下，这些捆绑包中包含了额外的服务，反映了土地管理的效果。景观规模管理既促进生态系统功能的保护，又促进供应服务的可持续利用，可以提供一套更平衡的生态系统服务，使更多的社会部门受益，有助于农村地区更公平和可持续的未来。图形抽象

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Ecosystems and People Agricultural and Biological Sciences-Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics

CiteScore

7.80

自引率

11.30%

发文量

审稿时长

42 weeks

期刊介绍： Ecosystems and People is an interdisciplinary journal that addresses how biodiversity and ecosystems underpin human quality of life, and how societal activities and preferences drive changes in ecosystems. Research published in Ecosystems and People addresses human-nature relationships and social-ecological systems in a broad sense. This embraces research on biodiversity, ecosystem services, their contributions to quality of life, implications for equity and justice, and the diverse and rich ways in which people relate to nature.