Coping with the Exceptional Economic Problems in Turkey: A Field Survey on SMES

Ercan Özen
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Abstract Developing countries need higher economic growth to reach the level of developed countries. When developing countries exceed the potential economic growth, problems, such as, high external debt and high current deficit emerge. Such situations increase the financial risk of the country; in addition, international political risks, fluctuations in capital inflows and some manipulative movements have subjected countries to extreme exchange rate fluctuations. Purposes of this research: (1) to uncover the impact of high exchange rate volatility on small business activities and (2) to determine whether the level of exposure of the exchange rate shock on business owners varies by age. The methodology of the study involved a survey administered to 390 small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). The findings of the study show that after a period of significant exchange rate fluctuations, business activities were negatively affected, sales decreased, and job cuts increased. On the other hand, the exchange rate effect was mostly felt by all business owners of different ages. According to the study, it can be concluded that small enterprises are vulnerable to rising exchange rate volatility. The effect on SMEs with more work experience is not different. In order to alleviate the effects of adverse exchange rate movements, enterprises should be more cautious in their activities. Two suggestions can be made at this point: (i) Governments should follow optimal growth policies and (ii) Small businesses that have an important place in the economy should be made aware of the exchange rate risk and crisis management.
应对土耳其特殊的经济问题——对中小企业的实地调查
发展中国家需要更高的经济增长率才能达到发达国家的水平。当发展中国家的经济增长超出潜在水平时,就会出现高外债、高经常赤字等问题。这种情况增加了国家的财政风险;此外,国际政治风险、资本流入波动和一些操纵行为使各国汇率出现极端波动。本研究的目的:(1)揭示高汇率波动对小企业活动的影响;(2)确定汇率冲击对企业主的影响程度是否因年龄而异。这项研究的方法包括对390家中小型企业(SMEs)进行调查。研究结果表明,经过一段时间的汇率大幅波动后,商业活动受到负面影响,销售额下降,裁员增加。另一方面,不同年龄层的所有企业主都感受到了汇率效应。根据研究,可以得出结论,小企业容易受到汇率波动上升的影响。对工作经验较多的中小企业的影响也没有什么不同。为了减轻汇率不利变动的影响,企业在经营活动中应更加谨慎。在这一点上可以提出两点建议:(i)各国政府应遵循最佳增长政策;(ii)应使在经济中占有重要地位的小企业了解汇率风险和危机管理。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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