Methodical approach to assessing risks of possible yield losses during implementation of agricultural technologies

Vyacheslav V. Yakushev, V. V. Voropayev, Vladimir S. Lomakin
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

The methods of risk assessment and decision-making in the management of agrotechnology were studied in order to develop a methodical approach to assessing the risks of possible yield losses in case of deviations from the project parameters in the implementation of agrotechnology. The study uses methods of analyzing information from the subject area of risk management in the management of agricultural technology. A registry of possible deviations in the design values of process parameters in the implementation of agricultural technologies has been compiled. A new approach has been developed to assess the risks of possible yield losses in the implementation of agrotechnology with deviations in process parameters from project values. Using the proposed approach will provide an automated ranking of options for decisions on the degree of risk of possible crop failure in case of deviations from the designed values, which will facilitate the transition to intelligent management of crop production.
在实施农业技术期间评估可能的产量损失风险的方法
研究了农业技术管理中的风险评估和决策方法,以便制定一种系统的方法来评估在实施农业技术过程中偏离项目参数时可能造成的产量损失的风险。本研究采用了分析农业技术管理中风险管理主题领域信息的方法。编制了一份农业技术实施过程中工艺参数设计值可能存在偏差的登记册。开发了一种新的方法来评估农业技术实施过程中可能出现的产量损失风险,因为工艺参数与项目价值存在偏差。使用拟议的方法将为在偏离设计值的情况下决定可能的作物歉收风险程度的选项提供自动排序,这将有助于向作物生产智能管理过渡。
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