Examining the Philippines’ China policy: great powers and domestic politics

IF 1.8 3区社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS

Australian Journal of International Affairs Pub Date : 2022-06-10 DOI:10.1080/10357718.2022.2085242

Xiangning Wu, J. C. Velasco

引用次数: 2

Abstract

ABSTRACT When great powers such as the United States and China grow especially hawkish with more uncertainties, how does a smaller state react to such a complex and dangerous territorial conflict? Given the competing frames of influence between China and the United States, what are the underlying reasons for the shift in the Philippines’ foreign policy? This paper focuses on the Philippines’ changing foreign policy on the South China Sea dispute and examines the main rationale for its shift in strategy towards China. We use the perspective of neoclassical realism to unpack the constraining factors that underlie the Philippines’ domestic politics and ongoing global exigencies. With changes in its domestic politics and the security challenges posed by the evolving geopolitics of the Indo-Pacific region, the Philippines is in a difficult situation, having to choose between a territorially hostile trading partner and its historical security guarantor.

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审视菲律宾的对华政策：大国与国内政治

摘要当美国和中国这样的大国在不确定性增加的情况下变得特别强硬时，一个小国如何应对如此复杂和危险的领土冲突？考虑到中美之间相互竞争的影响力框架，菲律宾外交政策转变的根本原因是什么？本文着重分析了菲律宾在南海争端上外交政策的变化，并探讨了其对华战略转变的主要理由。我们用新古典现实主义的视角来解读菲律宾国内政治和当前全球紧急情况背后的制约因素。随着国内政治的变化和印太地区不断演变的地缘政治带来的安全挑战，菲律宾处境艰难，不得不在领土敌对的贸易伙伴和历史安全保障者之间做出选择。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Australian Journal of International Affairs INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS-

CiteScore

3.20

自引率

13.30%

发文量

期刊介绍： AJIA is the journal of the Australian Institute of International Affairs. The Institute was established in 1933 as an independent and non-political body and its purpose is to stimulate interest in and understanding of international affairs among its members and the general public. The aim of the Australian Journal of International Affairs is to publish high quality scholarly research on international political, social, economic and legal issues, especially (but not exclusively) within the Asia-Pacific region. The journal publishes research articles, refereed review essays and commentary and provocation pieces. ''Articles'' are traditional scholarly articles. ‘Review essays’ use newly published books as the basis to thematically examine current events in International Relations. The journal also publishes commentaries and provocations which are high quality and engaging pieces of commentary, opinion and provocation in a variety of styles. The Australian Journal of International Affairs aims to analyse international issues for an Australian readership and to present Australian perspectives to readers in other countries. While seeking to stimulate interest in and understanding of international affairs, the journal does not seek to promote any particular policies or approaches. All suitable manuscripts submitted are sent to two referees in a full ''double blind'' refereeing process.