Comparing the process of early control of government between H7N9 avian influenza in Shanghai in 2013 and COVID-19 in Wuhan in 2019/ 上海预防医学

上海预防医学 Pub Date : 2020-03-24 DOI:10.19428/J.CNKI.SJPM.2020.20122

L. Luo, G. Bai, R. Dai, Qian Wang, Huanhuan Zhu, Xin Liu, Ping Wu, Tiantian Zhang

引用次数: 0

Abstract

[Objective] To analyze and judge the possibility of early control in Shanghai if COVID-19 begins in Shanghai. [Methods] Compare the process of early control of H7N9 avian influenza in Shanghai in 2013 and Wuhan COVID-19 in 2019. The early incidence data of Korean COVID-19 was simulated and analyzed to predict whether the medical resources needed in Shanghai were available. [Results] (1) It would take 22 days from the first case to the government's emergency response in terms of Shanghai. (2) It is estimated that there would be 602-763 patients with cumulative onset and onset after incubation period. (3) At least 500 beds of infectious diseases can be allocated in Shanghai in case of emergency. Through adding beds and resources reallocation in the whole city, patients can be fully admitted and treated. [Conclusion] If COVID-19 epidemic occurs in Shanghai, early control is possible. Key words: COVID-19; H7N9 avian influenza; Shanghai; Wuhan; early control

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2013年上海H7N9禽流感与2019年武汉COVID-19政府早期控制过程比较

[目的]分析判断新冠肺炎在上海暴发后早期控制的可能性。[方法]比较2013年上海和2019年武汉新冠肺炎H7N9禽流感早期控制过程。对韩国新冠肺炎早期发病数据进行模拟分析，预测上海所需医疗资源是否可用。[结果]（1）从第一例病例到上海市政府应急响应需要22天。（2）据估计，累计发病和潜伏期后发病的患者将为602-763人。（3）在紧急情况下，上海至少可以分配500张传染病病床。通过在整个城市增加床位和重新分配资源，患者可以得到充分的入院和治疗。【结论】如果新冠肺炎疫情在上海发生，早期控制是可能的。关键词：新冠肺炎；H7N9禽流感；上海；武汉；早期控制

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

上海预防医学

CiteScore

0.40

自引率

0.00%

发文量

10697

期刊介绍： Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine（SJPM） sponsored by Shanghai Preventive Medicine Association，ISSN 1004-9231, CN 31-1635/R , was founded in October 1989. Over the past 33 years, the Journal has been “a mentor for preventive health care professionals and an important link between professionals”. It is a platform to exchange academic achievements and information, to encourage the development of new technology, to combine theory with practice, popularization with improvement in the fields of preventive medicine, public health and safety, maternity care, health education, health supervision and community health work. SJPM has been accepted by many leading databases home and abroad, including: Directory of Open Access Journals (DOAJ) CAB Abstracts, CABI Global Health, CABI Japan Science and Technology Agency, Chinese Bibliographic (JST China) Database Western Pacific Region Index Medicus of WHO (WPRIM) Chemical Abstracts (CA), American Chemical Society Ulrich's Periodicals Directory（Ulrichsweb） ICI World of Journals Database Chinese Academic Journal Comprehensive Evaluation Database Chinese Core Journal (Selection) Database Chinese Periodical Full-text Database (CJFD) Chinese Science and Technology Periodical Database Wanfang Data - Digital Journal Group China National Knowledge Infrastructure Weipu Information Network, etc.