Bending the Curve by 2030

Christopher Tucker
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Half the global population has birth rates below replacement and several advanced nations already have birth rates half that. There is no question that restoring a sustainable population via low birth rates is feasible. There is even a scientific consensus around the non-coercive, empowering strategies focused on women and girls that could expedite the inevitable process of bending the global population curve. The question is simply the level of investment required to make it happen. As such, this article explores the ‘art of the possible’, walking us through how we could approach a safe harbour population of three billion soon after 2100 – a new lower population plateau that would enable humanity to pay down the massive ecological debt it has accrued over recent centuries.
到2030年扭转曲线
全球一半人口的出生率低于更替水平,一些发达国家的出生率已经达到了这个水平的一半。毫无疑问,通过低出生率恢复可持续的人口是可行的。人们甚至对以妇女和女孩为重点的非强制性、增强权能战略达成了科学共识,这些战略可以加速扭曲全球人口曲线的不可避免的进程。问题仅仅是实现这一目标所需的投资水平。因此,本文探讨了“可能性的艺术”,引导我们了解如何在2100年之后不久达到30亿人口的安全港——一个新的人口较低的平台,将使人类能够偿还近几个世纪以来积累的巨额生态债务。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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10
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10 weeks
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