Mahayaudin M. Mansor, N. Ibrahim, Siti Afiqah Muhamad Jamil, Nur Amalina binti Shafie, Siti Meriam Zahari
{"title":"Visualising the Optimistic, Realistic, and Pessimistic Financial Distress Outlooks for Airport Operations in Malaysia","authors":"Mahayaudin M. Mansor, N. Ibrahim, Siti Afiqah Muhamad Jamil, Nur Amalina binti Shafie, Siti Meriam Zahari","doi":"10.4018/jcit.324103","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This paper aims to visualise three financial distress outlooks using computer simulations. The financial distress exposure for airport operations in Malaysia between 1991 and 2021 is given by Altman Z”-score and modelled by the multivariate generalized linear model (MGLM). Seven determinants contributing to the financial distress from literature are examined. The determinant series are fitted individually by using linear model with time series components and autoregressive integrated moving average models to forecast values for the next 10 financial years. Future short- to long-term memory effects following COVID-19 are apparent in time series plots. In the simulations, the MGLM procedure utilised Gaussian, gamma, and Cauchy probability distributions associated with expectations and challenges of doing business as well as uncertainties in the economy. The underlying trends of realistic, optimistic, and pessimistic financial distress outlooks insinuate that the increasing risk of financial distress of airport operations in Malaysia is expected to continue for the next decade.","PeriodicalId":43384,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Cases on Information Technology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.7000,"publicationDate":"2023-06-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Cases on Information Technology","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.4018/jcit.324103","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"COMPUTER SCIENCE, INFORMATION SYSTEMS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
This paper aims to visualise three financial distress outlooks using computer simulations. The financial distress exposure for airport operations in Malaysia between 1991 and 2021 is given by Altman Z”-score and modelled by the multivariate generalized linear model (MGLM). Seven determinants contributing to the financial distress from literature are examined. The determinant series are fitted individually by using linear model with time series components and autoregressive integrated moving average models to forecast values for the next 10 financial years. Future short- to long-term memory effects following COVID-19 are apparent in time series plots. In the simulations, the MGLM procedure utilised Gaussian, gamma, and Cauchy probability distributions associated with expectations and challenges of doing business as well as uncertainties in the economy. The underlying trends of realistic, optimistic, and pessimistic financial distress outlooks insinuate that the increasing risk of financial distress of airport operations in Malaysia is expected to continue for the next decade.
期刊介绍:
JCIT documents comprehensive, real-life cases based on individual, organizational and societal experiences related to the utilization and management of information technology. Cases published in JCIT deal with a wide variety of organizations such as businesses, government organizations, educational institutions, libraries, non-profit organizations. Additionally, cases published in JCIT report not only successful utilization of IT applications, but also failures and mismanagement of IT resources and applications.