COVID-19 Incidence in Europe: Drivers and Government Interventions

IF 1 4区管理学 Q3 PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION

Transylvanian Review of Administrative Sciences Pub Date : 2020-11-23 DOI:10.24193/tras.si2020.5

D. Lupu, L. Maha, Elena-Daniela Viorică

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引用次数: 10

Abstract

This study aims to identify the determinant country-level factors that impact the trend of registered death cases from the recently emerged infectious disease COVID-19, analyzing data from March 2020 to July 2020, for 40 European countries. We use four categories of indicators covering major areas of influence: health, demographic, economic, and societal/cultural indicators. We reduce the dimensionality of the data to three latent factors by applying a Principal Component Analysis method, and we employ a multiple linear regression model to estimate the effects of these factors on the trend of death rates. The main result of the study is that a decreasing trend of death cases is the effect of a functional and citizen-oriented state, and is not only impacted by characteristics of the medical system or by individual features. Our findings also suggest that the premises for a low mortality rate are built by policies that have effects in the long- and medium- term. These policies refer to economic growth, sustainable development, healthcare, and the creation of a stable political system and an efficient administration.

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COVID-19在欧洲的发病率:驱动因素和政府干预措施

本研究旨在通过分析2020年3月至2020年7月40个欧洲国家的数据，确定影响最近出现的传染病新冠肺炎登记死亡病例趋势的决定性国家层面因素。我们使用四类指标，涵盖主要影响领域：健康、人口、经济和社会/文化指标。我们通过应用主成分分析方法将数据的维度降低为三个潜在因素，并使用多元线性回归模型来估计这些因素对死亡率趋势的影响。研究的主要结果是，死亡病例的减少趋势是功能性和公民导向状态的影响，而不仅仅受到医疗系统特征或个人特征的影响。我们的研究结果还表明，低死亡率的前提是由具有长期和中期影响的政策建立的。这些政策涉及经济增长、可持续发展、医疗保健以及建立稳定的政治体系和高效的行政管理。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Transylvanian Review of Administrative Sciences PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION-

CiteScore

2.10

自引率

10.00%

发文量

审稿时长

25 weeks

期刊介绍： TRAS represents a collective effort initiated by an international group aimed at boosting the research in the field of public administration in a country where during the communist regime there was no tradition in this sense. TRAS represents a unique source of specialized analysis of the ex-communist space, of the transition processes to democracy, of the reform of public administration, and of comparative analysis of administrative systems. The general topic covered by the articles in the Review is administrative sciences. As a result of an interdisciplinary, modern approach, the articles cover the following specific themes: Public management, public policy, administrative law, public policy analysis, regional development, community development, public finances, urban planning, program evaluation in public administration, ethics, comparative administrative systems, etc. TRAS encourages the authors to submit articles that are based on empirical research. From the standpoint of the topic covered, TRAS is lined up with the trends followed by other international journals in the field of public administration. All articles submitted to the Transylvanian Review of Administrative Sciences have to present a clear connection to the field of administrative sciences and the research (both theoretical and empirical) should be conducted from this perspective. Interdisciplinary topics related to organizational theory, sustainable development and CSR, international relations, etc. can be considered for publication, however the research needs to address relevant issues from the perspective of the public sector. Articles which use highly specialized econometrics models as well as studies addressing macro-economic topics will not be considered for evaluation. The decision on whether a certain topic falls within the interest of TRAS belongs to the editors and it is not connected with the overall quality of the work submitted.