Analysis and assessment of risk in the implementation of a cogeneration installation at a livestock farm

Q3 Energy
K. Kostov
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

: The introduction of increasingly strict rules related to the processing and storage of animal waste, the growing demand for energy and the creation of sustainable animal husbandry have led to an increased interest in the production of clean energy from animal waste. The production of biogas and its subsequent burning on the farm is among the most promising technologies. One of the possibilities for the utilization of biogas is through the use of small aggregates for the combined production of electricity and heat energy based on an internal combustion engine. Analysis of such facilities that have been put into operation show that alternative technologies using biogas as fuel are better than conventional options, both from an economic and an environmental point of view. In this sense, however, the introduction of such a technology into operation is always associated with a number of risks, since investments in new technologies are influenced by technical and economic uncertainty. When planning and preparing the plan for the construction of such a biogas facility, the investment costs, technical support and profitability of the project are essential. Introducing critical economic and technical parameters to inform the farmer of all possible investments, ope-rational and unforeseen risks will allow him to accept the challenges and choose the best solution for his farm. In this publication, an analysis and assessment of the risk has been carried out based on the characteristics of the technology – the possible consequences of the risk are also presented. A risk matrix related to the specifics of the object and the technology is proposed, with the help of which, the type of risk is identified. Based on an analysis of the obtained results, a motivated proposal for reducing the risk is made.
畜牧场热电联产装置实施过程中的风险分析和评估
当前位置随着有关动物粪便处理和储存的日益严格的规定的出台,对能源的需求不断增长,以及可持续畜牧业的兴起,人们对利用动物粪便生产清洁能源的兴趣日益浓厚。沼气的生产及其随后在农场燃烧是最有前途的技术之一。利用沼气的一种可能性是利用小型集合体,在内燃机的基础上联合生产电能和热能。对已投入使用的这类设施的分析表明,从经济和环境的角度来看,使用沼气作为燃料的替代技术比传统的选择要好。但是,从这个意义上说,将这种技术投入使用总是伴随着一些风险,因为对新技术的投资受到技术和经济不确定性的影响。在规划和准备建设这样一个沼气设施的计划时,项目的投资成本、技术支持和盈利能力是必不可少的。引入关键的经济和技术参数,让农民了解所有可能的投资、合理的和不可预见的风险,这将使他能够接受挑战,并为他的农场选择最佳解决方案。在本刊物中,已根据该技术的特点对风险进行了分析和评估,并提出了风险可能造成的后果。提出了一个与对象和技术的具体情况相关的风险矩阵,并利用它来识别风险的类型。在对所得结果进行分析的基础上,提出了降低风险的建议。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Polityka Energetyczna
Polityka Energetyczna Energy-Energy (all)
CiteScore
3.60
自引率
0.00%
发文量
9
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