Description of the cumulative incidence of COVID-19 in the 10 cities of Mexico with most accumulated cases after 120 days of the first confirmed case

Abstract

Background: The COVID-19 is potentially severe acute respiratory infectious disease, increasing day by day. The cumulative incidence of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases is showing similar trends in the globally confirming that, while at a different stage depending on the country, the COVID-19 pandemic has progressed rapidly in all countries. In this study, we evaluate the cumulative incidence of COVID-19 in 10 cities located in all regions of Mexico. Material and methods: Confirmed COVID-19 cases were obtained from the Government of Mexico’s open data portal. A listing of the metropolitan zones with most cases was built. Results: At the time of the data cut-off point, COVID-19 confirmed cases in the Valle de Mexico metropolitan area are more than 233 000, with a cumulative incidence of 183 cases/100 000 habitants. Even though Valle de Mexico has the highest reported number of cases, it is Villahermosa city which has the highest cumulative incidence with 647 cases/100 000 habitants. Conclusions: The estimation of cases through the Sentinel model has shown that, the real extension of the epidemic could be at least 8 times higher that official data; a situation that would place Mexico as one of the most affected countries in Latin America.