Fertilidad y resultados laborales: Una evidencia causal para Bolivia

Abstract

Two econometric models with instrumental variable are used to estimate the causal effect of a marginal increase in the number of sons on female labor outcomes. According to model 2, the negative causal effect of fertility on the probability of working does not change significantly between 2001 (12%) and 2012 (13%), whose results are like that estimated by model 1 for 2016 (14%). Likewise, fertility causes the probability of working part-time to increase by 38% and the level of real income to decrease by Bs. 227 and Bs. 326 according to the 0.5 and 0.8 quantiles respectively for 2012.