Improved LSTM Method of Predicting Cryptocurrency Price Using Short-Term Data

Risna Sari, Kusrini Kusrini, Tonny Hidayat, T. Orphanoudakis
{"title":"Improved LSTM Method of Predicting Cryptocurrency Price Using Short-Term Data","authors":"Risna Sari, Kusrini Kusrini, Tonny Hidayat, T. Orphanoudakis","doi":"10.22146/ijccs.80776","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"As cryptocurrencies develop, it cannot be denied that crypto prices are volatile. One of the influencing factors is the increasing volume of transactions which attracts the interest of researchers to conduct research in developing coin price predictions from cryptocurrencies. The method, algorithm and amount of data affect the prediction results. In this study, prediction modelling will be carried out using the LSTM method and short-term data. This study will conduct two experiments using the simple LSTM method and utilising multivariate time series with LSTM. The smallest predicted value is obtained using an 80/20 data allocation distribution scenario, input layer LSTM = 360, Epoch = 500, a Solana coin with RMSE = 0.111, R2 = 0.9962. It can be interpreted that short-term data can be used in making predictive models. Still, special attention needs to be paid to the characteristics of the dataset used and the modelling methodology, and it is hoped that the results of this study can be used in further research.","PeriodicalId":31625,"journal":{"name":"IJCCS Indonesian Journal of Computing and Cybernetics Systems","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2023-02-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"2","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"IJCCS Indonesian Journal of Computing and Cybernetics Systems","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.22146/ijccs.80776","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2

Abstract

As cryptocurrencies develop, it cannot be denied that crypto prices are volatile. One of the influencing factors is the increasing volume of transactions which attracts the interest of researchers to conduct research in developing coin price predictions from cryptocurrencies. The method, algorithm and amount of data affect the prediction results. In this study, prediction modelling will be carried out using the LSTM method and short-term data. This study will conduct two experiments using the simple LSTM method and utilising multivariate time series with LSTM. The smallest predicted value is obtained using an 80/20 data allocation distribution scenario, input layer LSTM = 360, Epoch = 500, a Solana coin with RMSE = 0.111, R2 = 0.9962. It can be interpreted that short-term data can be used in making predictive models. Still, special attention needs to be paid to the characteristics of the dataset used and the modelling methodology, and it is hoped that the results of this study can be used in further research.
基于短期数据预测加密货币价格的改进LSTM方法
随着加密货币的发展,不可否认的是,加密价格是不稳定的。其中一个影响因素是交易量的增加,这吸引了研究人员对开发加密货币的硬币价格预测进行研究的兴趣。方法、算法和数据量影响预测结果。在本研究中,将使用LSTM方法和短期数据进行预测建模。本研究将使用简单LSTM方法和使用LSTM的多元时间序列进行两个实验。使用80/20的数据分配分布场景,输入层LSTM = 360, Epoch = 500,一个索拉纳硬币,RMSE = 0.111, R2 = 0.9962,得到预测值最小。可以这样解释,短期数据可以用来建立预测模型。但是,需要特别注意所使用的数据集的特点和建模方法,并希望本研究的结果可以用于进一步的研究。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
求助全文
约1分钟内获得全文 求助全文
来源期刊
自引率
0.00%
发文量
20
审稿时长
12 weeks
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术官方微信