Accident rate in Polish mining. Current status and forecast

IF 2.2 4区地球科学 Q2 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY

Acta Montanistica Slovaca Pub Date : 2022-12-08 DOI:10.46544/ams.v27i3.05

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

The article presents the analysis of accidents at work in the Polish mining industry in the period from 2010 to 2020 with forecasts for the next three years. The study consists of two parts. The first part deals with methods of analysing working conditions in the mining industry. A key element of the literature review is the econometric methods that have been used by researchers to analyse accidents at work in mining. In the empirical part (the second part of the paper), the authors present the results of their own econometric analysis. The authors use econometric models in predicting the indicator (W*) – total number of people injured in accidents per thousand employees. Testing classical econometric models, the authors obtained the best forecasts (based on the obtained forecast errors) in the Winters' model and the Brown's model. The accident at work in mining is an important topic for research because the branch of industry belongs to the branch with hard work. Health and safety in mines has a great importance for the sake of specific conditions in that kind of industry. Continuous analysis of accidents at work is necessary in evaluation of system effectiveness of health and safety system in all mines. Forecasting of accident at work can help miners to build safety in mines

查看原文本刊更多论文

波兰矿业的事故率。现状与展望

本文分析了2010年至2020年期间波兰采矿业的工作事故，并对未来三年进行了预测。本研究由两部分组成。第一部分论述了分析采矿业工作条件的方法。文献综述的一个关键要素是研究人员用来分析采矿事故的计量经济学方法。在实证部分(论文的第二部分)，作者给出了他们自己的计量分析结果。作者使用计量经济学模型来预测指标(W*)——每千名雇员中事故受伤的总人数。通过对经典计量经济学模型的检验，作者在温特斯模型和布朗模型中获得了最佳预测(基于得到的预测误差)。矿山事故是一个重要的研究课题，因为矿山工业属于劳动强度较大的行业。矿山的健康和安全对于这类行业的具体情况具有重要意义。对工作事故的持续分析是评价各矿山健康安全体系有效性的必要条件。对工作中发生的事故进行预测，有助于矿井安全建设

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Acta Montanistica Slovaca 地学-地球科学综合

CiteScore

3.60

自引率

12.50%

发文量

审稿时长

30 weeks

期刊介绍： Acta Montanistica Slovaca publishes high quality articles on basic and applied research in the following fields: geology and geological survey; mining; Earth resources; underground engineering and geotechnics; mining mechanization, mining transport, deep hole drilling; ecotechnology and mineralurgy; process control, automation and applied informatics in raw materials extraction, utilization and processing; other similar fields. Acta Montanistica Slovaca is the only scientific journal of this kind in Central, Eastern and South Eastern Europe. The submitted manuscripts should contribute significantly to the international literature, even if the focus can be regional. Manuscripts should cite the extant and relevant international literature, should clearly state what the wider contribution is (e.g. a novel discovery, application of a new technique or methodology, application of an existing methodology to a new problem), and should discuss the importance of the work in the international context.