Stochastic demand frontier analysis of residential electricity demands in Japan

IF 1.9 Q2 ECONOMICS
Akihiro Otsuka
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

This study analyzed the efficiency of residential electricity demands from 1990 to 2015 across the electrical supply regions of Japan. Specifically, I utilized a stochastic frontier analysis to statistically identify the determinants of the efficiency of residential electricity demands. The analysis revealed that a decline in average household size improves the efficiency of electricity demands, whereas a rise in the aging of household members worsens it. Furthermore, this study showed that the efficiency of electricity demands improves in warmer regions because of increased cost consciousness in cooling demands, whereas it deteriorates in colder regions because of the complementary use of various heating devices. A shift in Japan’s energy policy following the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake has not significantly affected the efficiency of residential electricity demands. In other words, no structural changes have occurred in the efficiency of electricity demands during the observation period. As such, long-term trends within this sector in Japan include a decline in the average household size and a rise in population aging. Therefore, these findings provide important insights into Japan’s future trends in terms of energy demands.

日本居民用电需求的随机需求前沿分析
本研究分析了1990年至2015年日本电力供应地区的住宅电力需求效率。具体来说,我利用随机前沿分析来统计识别居民电力需求效率的决定因素。分析结果显示,平均家庭规模的减少会提高用电效率,而家庭成员老龄化的增加则会恶化用电效率。此外,本研究表明,由于制冷需求的成本意识增强,温暖地区的电力需求效率有所提高,而在寒冷地区,由于各种供暖设备的补充使用,电力需求效率下降。2011年东日本大地震后,日本能源政策的转变并未显著影响居民用电需求的效率。换句话说,在观察期内,电力需求效率没有发生结构性变化。因此,日本该行业的长期趋势包括平均家庭规模的下降和人口老龄化的加剧。因此,这些发现为了解日本未来的能源需求趋势提供了重要的见解。
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来源期刊
Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science
Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science Social Sciences-Urban Studies
CiteScore
3.10
自引率
7.10%
发文量
46
期刊介绍: The Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science expands the frontiers of regional science through the diffusion of intrinsically developed and advanced modern, regional science methodologies throughout the Asia-Pacific region. Articles published in the journal foster progress and development of regional science through the promotion of comprehensive and interdisciplinary academic studies in relationship to research in regional science across the globe. The journal’s scope includes articles dedicated to theoretical economics, positive economics including econometrics and statistical analysis and input–output analysis, CGE, Simulation, applied economics including international economics, regional economics, industrial organization, analysis of governance and institutional issues, law and economics, migration and labor markets, spatial economics, land economics, urban economics, agricultural economics, environmental economics, behavioral economics and spatial analysis with GIS/RS data education economics, sociology including urban sociology, rural sociology, environmental sociology and educational sociology, as well as traffic engineering. The journal provides a unique platform for its research community to further develop, analyze, and resolve urgent regional and urban issues in Asia, and to further refine established research around the world in this multidisciplinary field. The journal invites original articles, proposals, and book reviews.The Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science is a new English-language journal that spun out of Chiikigakukenkyuu, which has a 45-year history of publishing the best Japanese research in regional science in the Japanese language and, more recently and more frequently, in English. The development of regional science as an international discipline has necessitated the need for a new publication in English. The Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science is a publishing vehicle for English-language contributions to the field in Japan, across the complete Asia-Pacific arena, and beyond.Content published in this journal is peer reviewed (Double Blind).
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