The Violent Consequences of Trade-Induced Worker Displacement in Mexico

IF 8.1 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Melissa Dell, B. Feigenberg, Kensuke Teshima
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引用次数: 58

Abstract

Mexican manufacturing job loss induced by competition with China increases cocaine trafficking and violence, particularly in municipalities with transnational criminal organizations. When it becomes more lucrative to traffic drugs because changes in local labor markets lower the opportunity cost of criminal employment, criminal organizations plausibly fight to gain control. The evidence supports a Becker-style model in which the elasticity between legitimate and criminal employment is particularly high where criminal organizations lower illicit job search costs, where the drug trade implies higher pecuniary returns to violent crime, and where unemployment disproportionately affects low-skilled men. (JEL F16, J24, J64, K42, L60, O15, R23)
墨西哥贸易导致的工人流离失所的暴力后果
由于与中国的竞争,墨西哥制造业的工作岗位减少,增加了可卡因贩运和暴力,特别是在有跨国犯罪组织的城市。由于当地劳动力市场的变化降低了犯罪就业的机会成本,当贩毒变得更加有利可图时,犯罪组织似乎会为获得控制权而斗争。证据支持贝克式的模型,在这个模型中,在犯罪组织降低非法找工作成本、毒品交易意味着暴力犯罪的更高金钱回报、失业不成比例地影响低技能男性的地方,合法就业和犯罪就业之间的弹性特别高。(jel f16, j24, j64, k42, l60, o15, r23)
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来源期刊
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期刊介绍: The journal American Economic Review: Insights (AER: Insights) is a publication that caters to a wide audience interested in economics. It shares the same standards of quality and significance as the American Economic Review (AER) but focuses specifically on papers that offer important insights communicated concisely. AER: Insights releases four issues annually, covering a diverse range of topics in economics.
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