Bootstrap method for misspecified ergodic Lévy driven stochastic differential equation models

Pub Date : 2022-11-10 DOI:10.1007/s10463-022-00854-2
Yuma Uehara
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Abstract

In this paper, we consider possibly misspecified stochastic differential equation models driven by Lévy processes. Regardless of whether the driving noise is Gaussian or not, Gaussian quasi-likelihood estimator can estimate unknown parameters in the drift and scale coefficients. However, in the misspecified case, the asymptotic distribution of the estimator varies by the correction of the misspecification bias, and consistent estimators for the asymptotic variance proposed in the correctly specified case may lose theoretical validity. As one of its solutions, we propose a bootstrap method for approximating the asymptotic distribution. We show that our bootstrap method theoretically works in both correctly specified case and misspecified case without assuming the precise distribution of the driving noise.

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错定遍历lsamy驱动随机微分方程模型的自举法
在本文中,我们考虑了由lsamvy过程驱动的可能的错定随机微分方程模型。无论驱动噪声是否为高斯噪声,高斯拟似然估计都可以估计出漂移系数和尺度系数中的未知参数。然而,在错误指定的情况下,估计量的渐近分布随着错误指定偏差的校正而变化,并且在正确指定的情况下提出的渐近方差的一致估计可能会失去理论有效性。作为其解之一,我们提出了一种逼近渐近分布的自举法。结果表明,在不假设驱动噪声精确分布的情况下,该方法在正确指定情况和错误指定情况下理论上都有效。
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