The COVID-19 epidemic and evaluating the corresponding responses to crisis management in refugees: a system dynamic approach

IF 3.2 Q2 MANAGEMENT
F. Allahi, A. Fateh, R. Revetria, R. Cianci
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引用次数: 14

Abstract

PurposeThe COVID-19 pandemic is a new crisis in the world that caused many restrictions, from personal life to social and business. In this situation, the most vulnerable groups such as refugees who are living in the camps are faced with more serious problems. Therefore, a system dynamic approach has been developed to evaluate the effect of applying different scenarios to find out the best response to COVID-19 to improve refugees’ health and education.Design/methodology/approachThe interaction of several health and education factors during an epidemic crisis among refugees leads to behavioral responses that consequently make the crisis control a complex problem. This research has developed an SD model based on the SIER model that responds to the public health and education system of Syrian refugees in Turkey affected by the COVID-19 virus and considered three policies of isolation, social distance/hygiene behavior and financial aid using the available data from various references.FindingsThe findings from the SD simulation results of applying three different policies identify that public health and education systems can increase much more by implementing the policy of social distance/hygiene behavior, and it has a significant impact on the control of the epidemic in comparison with the other two responses.Originality/valueThis paper contributes to humanitarian organizations, governments and refugees by discussing useful insights. Implementing the policy of social distance and hygiene behavior policies would help in a sharp reduction of death in refugees group. and public financial support has improved distance education during this pandemic.
2019冠状病毒病疫情和评估难民危机管理的相应对策:系统动态方法
目的新冠肺炎大流行是世界上一场新的危机,它造成了从个人生活到社交和商业的许多限制。在这种情况下,生活在难民营中的难民等最弱势群体面临着更严重的问题。因此,开发了一种系统动态方法来评估应用不同情景的效果,以找出应对新冠肺炎的最佳对策,从而改善难民的健康和教育。设计/方法/方法在难民中的流行病危机期间,几个健康和教育因素的相互作用会导致行为反应,从而使危机控制成为一个复杂的问题。本研究开发了一个基于SIER模型的SD模型,该模型响应了受新冠肺炎病毒影响的土耳其叙利亚难民的公共卫生和教育系统,并使用各种参考文献中的可用数据考虑了隔离、社交距离/卫生行为和财政援助三项政策。结果应用三种不同政策的SD模拟结果表明,通过实施社交距离/卫生行为政策,公共卫生和教育系统可以增加更多,与其他两种应对措施相比,它对疫情的控制有重大影响。原创性/价值本文通过讨论有用的见解,为人道主义组织、政府和难民做出贡献。实施社交距离政策和卫生行为政策将有助于大幅减少难民群体的死亡。公共财政支持改善了疫情期间的远程教育。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
6.40
自引率
20.00%
发文量
20
期刊介绍: The Journal of Humanitarian Logistics and Supply Chain Management (JHLSCM) is targeted at academics and practitioners in humanitarian public and private sector organizations working on all aspects of humanitarian logistics and supply chain management. The journal promotes the exchange of knowledge, experience and new ideas between researchers and practitioners and encourages a multi-disciplinary and cross-functional approach to the resolution of problems and exploitations of opportunities within humanitarian supply chains. Contributions are encouraged from diverse disciplines (logistics, operations management, process engineering, health care, geography, management science, information technology, ethics, corporate social responsibility, disaster management, development aid, public policy) but need to have a logistics and/or supply chain focus. JHLSCM publishes state of the art research, utilizing both quantitative and qualitative approaches, in the field of humanitarian and development aid logistics and supply chain management.
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