{"title":"A new estimator for LARCH processes","authors":"Jean-Marc Bardet","doi":"10.1111/jtsa.12689","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>The aim of this article is to provide a new estimator of parameters for LARCH<math>\n <mrow>\n <mo>(</mo>\n <mi>∞</mi>\n <mo>)</mo>\n </mrow></math> processes, and thus also for LARCH<math>\n <mrow>\n <mo>(</mo>\n <mi>p</mi>\n <mo>)</mo>\n </mrow></math> or GLARCH<math>\n <mrow>\n <mo>(</mo>\n <mi>p</mi>\n <mo>,</mo>\n <mi>q</mi>\n <mo>)</mo>\n </mrow></math> processes. This estimator results from minimizing a contrast leading to a least squares estimator for the absolute values of the process. Strong consistency and asymptotic normality are shown, and convergence occurs at the rate <math>\n <mrow>\n <msqrt>\n <mrow>\n <mi>n</mi>\n </mrow>\n </msqrt>\n </mrow></math> as well in short or long memory cases. Numerical experiments confirm the theoretical results and show that this new estimator significantly outperforms the smoothed quasi-maximum likelihood estimators or weighted least squares estimators commonly used for such processes.</p>","PeriodicalId":49973,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Time Series Analysis","volume":"45 1","pages":"103-132"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2000,"publicationDate":"2023-03-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Time Series Analysis","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/jtsa.12689","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Abstract
The aim of this article is to provide a new estimator of parameters for LARCH processes, and thus also for LARCH or GLARCH processes. This estimator results from minimizing a contrast leading to a least squares estimator for the absolute values of the process. Strong consistency and asymptotic normality are shown, and convergence occurs at the rate as well in short or long memory cases. Numerical experiments confirm the theoretical results and show that this new estimator significantly outperforms the smoothed quasi-maximum likelihood estimators or weighted least squares estimators commonly used for such processes.
期刊介绍:
During the last 30 years Time Series Analysis has become one of the most important and widely used branches of Mathematical Statistics. Its fields of application range from neurophysiology to astrophysics and it covers such well-known areas as economic forecasting, study of biological data, control systems, signal processing and communications and vibrations engineering.
The Journal of Time Series Analysis started in 1980, has since become the leading journal in its field, publishing papers on both fundamental theory and applications, as well as review papers dealing with recent advances in major areas of the subject and short communications on theoretical developments. The editorial board consists of many of the world''s leading experts in Time Series Analysis.