Weather Window Analysis in Operations and Maintenance Policies for Offshore Floating Multi-Purpose Platforms

IF 1.3 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL
Taemin Heo, Ding-Peng Liu, L. Manuel
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

In an emerging “blue economy,” the use of large multipurpose floating platforms in the open ocean is being considered. Such platforms could possibly support a diversified range of commercial activities including energy generation, aquaculture, seabed mining, transport, tourism, and sea-based laboratories. A Markov Decision Process (MDP) framework is proposed to deal with operations and maintenance issues that are inevitable; challenges arise from the complex stochastic weather conditions that need to be accounted for. Using data as well as contrasting synthetic simulations of relevant weather variables, we demonstrate the robustness/versatility of the MDP model. Two case studies-one involving constant and another involving time-dependent downtime costs-are conducted to demonstrate how the proposed MDP framework incorporates weather patterns from available data and can offer optimal policies for distinct metocean conditions (i.e., temporal variations in the weather). A realistic example that illustrates the implementation of the proposed framework for multiple O&M issues involving salmon net pens and wave energy converters demonstrates how our optimal policies can minimize O&M costs and maximize crew safety almost as if the true future were known for scheduling.
海上浮动多用途平台运维政策中的天气窗口分析
在新兴的“蓝色经济”中,正在考虑在公海上使用大型多用途浮动平台。这种平台可能支持各种各样的商业活动,包括发电、水产养殖、海底采矿、运输、旅游和海上实验室。提出了一种马尔可夫决策过程框架来处理不可避免的运维问题;挑战来自需要考虑的复杂的随机天气条件。使用数据以及相关天气变量的对比综合模拟,我们证明了MDP模型的鲁棒性/多功能性。两个案例研究(一个涉及恒定成本,另一个涉及与时间相关的停机成本)演示了拟议的MDP框架如何结合来自可用数据的天气模式,并为不同的海洋气象条件(即天气的时间变化)提供最佳策略。一个现实的例子,说明了多个运维问题的拟议框架的实施,包括鲑鱼网围栏和波浪能转换器,证明了我们的最佳策略如何最大限度地降低运维成本,最大限度地提高船员的安全,就像真正的未来是众所周知的调度一样。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.20
自引率
6.20%
发文量
63
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: The Journal of Offshore Mechanics and Arctic Engineering is an international resource for original peer-reviewed research that advances the state of knowledge on all aspects of analysis, design, and technology development in ocean, offshore, arctic, and related fields. Its main goals are to provide a forum for timely and in-depth exchanges of scientific and technical information among researchers and engineers. It emphasizes fundamental research and development studies as well as review articles that offer either retrospective perspectives on well-established topics or exposures to innovative or novel developments. Case histories are not encouraged. The journal also documents significant developments in related fields and major accomplishments of renowned scientists by programming themed issues to record such events. Scope: Offshore Mechanics, Drilling Technology, Fixed and Floating Production Systems; Ocean Engineering, Hydrodynamics, and Ship Motions; Ocean Climate Statistics, Storms, Extremes, and Hurricanes; Structural Mechanics; Safety, Reliability, Risk Assessment, and Uncertainty Quantification; Riser Mechanics, Cable and Mooring Dynamics, Pipeline and Subsea Technology; Materials Engineering, Fatigue, Fracture, Welding Technology, Non-destructive Testing, Inspection Technologies, Corrosion Protection and Control; Fluid-structure Interaction, Computational Fluid Dynamics, Flow and Vortex-Induced Vibrations; Marine and Offshore Geotechnics, Soil Mechanics, Soil-pipeline Interaction; Ocean Renewable Energy; Ocean Space Utilization and Aquaculture Engineering; Petroleum Technology; Polar and Arctic Science and Technology, Ice Mechanics, Arctic Drilling and Exploration, Arctic Structures, Ice-structure and Ship Interaction, Permafrost Engineering, Arctic and Thermal Design.
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