J. Andrades-Grassi, L. Cuesta-Herrera, Guillermo Bianchi-Pérez, H. Grassi, J. López-Hernández, H. Torres-Mantilla
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引用次数: 5
Abstract
Disease mapping seeks to represent the risk of a disease. This paper focuses on the spatial analysis of risk for pandemic COVID-19 in Europe and the Mediterranean. Morbidity and mortality data for 54 countries in ratio format were used. Two hypotheses were considered, the first one is that the data are homogeneous and the second one is that the ratios are defined in a heterogeneous manner requiring the stratification on the basis of covariables and the methodology of Jenks’ intervals. Spatial risk models were applied as well as methods for the representation of clusters. The results show that the best representation is obtained with the Poisson-Gamma Model under stratification. The variations in the ratios are due to the individual policies of each country for the management of the pandemic. The cluster analysis shows that there is a high mortality process in Eastern Europe. The behavior of the pandemic should be evaluated in the space-time process as well as in other heterogeneous and highly unequal regions.
期刊介绍:
Cuadernos Geográficos es una revista científica que se edita desde 1971 bajo el patrocinio de los Departamentos de Geografía de la Universidad de Granada. Acepta textos inéditos de investigación relativa a las relaciones entre la sociedad y el territorio, que contribuyan al desarrollo de la Ciencia Geográfica, en cualquiera de sus áreas de conocimiento, así como crónicas, notas y reseñas bibliográficas relativas a la actividad geográfica en cualquier parte del mundo, aunque especialmente en España y Andalucía, Latinoamérica y los países mediterráneos.