Long‐term analysis of persistence and size of swallow and martin roosts in the US Great Lakes

Abstract

In this study, we combined a machine learning pipeline and human supervision to identify and label swallow and martin roost locations on data captured from 2000 to 2020 by 12 Weather Surveillance Radars in the Great Lakes region of the US. We employed radar theory to extract the number of birds in each roost detected by our technique. With these data, we set out to investigate whether roosts formed consistently in the same geographic area over two decades and whether consistency was also predictive of roost size. We used a clustering algorithm to group individual roost locations into 104 high‐density regions and extracted the number of years when each of these regions was used by birds to roost. In addition, we calculated the overall population size and analyzed the daily roost size distributions. Our results support the hypothesis that more persistent roosts are also gathering more birds, but we found that on average, most individuals congregate in roosts of smaller size. Given the concentrations and consistency of roosting of swallows and martins in specific areas throughout the Great Lakes, future changes in these patterns should be monitored because they may have important ecosystem and conservation implications.