Optimal control strategy of COVID-19 spread in Morocco using SEIRD model

Abstract

Abstract This paper aims to predict the development of the COVID-19 pandemic in Morocco from a mathematical approach. Based on the reliability of the data and the nature of confirmed cases, the SEIRD model is employed to provide a theoretical framework to forecast COVID-19 ongoing epidemic. Findings suggest that the structure and parameters of the proposed model give insights into the dynamics of the virus. Hence, this study contributes to the conceptual areas of knowledge on COVID-19 in proposing an optimal control plan to help decrease the number of confirmed cases by applying preventive measures such as social distancing, wearing facial masks. Matlab/Simulink TM simulations are used to illustrate the findings.