Constructing Building Price Index Using Administrative Data

IF 0.5 4区 数学 Q4 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS
Masahiro Higo, Yumi Saita, C. Shimizu, Yuta Tachi
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Abstract

Abstract Improving the accuracy of deflators is crucial for measuring real GDP and growth rates. However, construction prices are often difficult to measure. This study uses the stratification and hedonic methods to estimate price indices. The estimated indices are based on the actual transaction prices of buildings (contract prices) obtained from the Statistics on Building Starts survey information from the administrative sector in Japan. Compared with the construction cost deflator (CCD), calculated by compounding input costs, the estimated output price indices show higher rates of increase during the economic expansion phase after 2013. This suggests that the profit surge in the construction sector observed in that period is not fully reflected in the CCD. Furthermore, the difference between the two “output-type” indices obtained by stratification and hedonic methods shrinks when the estimation methods are precisely configured.
利用行政数据构建建筑价格指数
摘要提高平减指数的准确性对于衡量实际GDP和增长率至关重要。然而,建筑价格往往难以衡量。本研究采用分层和特征方法来估计价格指数。估计指数基于从日本行政部门的建筑开工统计调查信息中获得的建筑实际交易价格(合同价格)。与通过复合投入成本计算的建筑成本平减指数(CCD)相比,估计的产出价格指数在2013年后的经济扩张阶段显示出更高的增长率。这表明,在这一时期观察到的建筑业利润激增并没有完全反映在CCD中。此外,当精确配置估计方法时,通过分层和特征方法获得的两个“产出类型”指标之间的差异缩小。
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来源期刊
Journal of Official Statistics
Journal of Official Statistics STATISTICS & PROBABILITY-
CiteScore
1.90
自引率
9.10%
发文量
39
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: JOS is an international quarterly published by Statistics Sweden. We publish research articles in the area of survey and statistical methodology and policy matters facing national statistical offices and other producers of statistics. The intended readers are researchers or practicians at statistical agencies or in universities and private organizations dealing with problems which concern aspects of production of official statistics.
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