Determining Economic Growth and Life Expectancy Linkages in Indonesia: A Simultanous Equation Model

A. B. Setiawan, Mochammad Yusuf, Danu Yudistira, A. Nugroho
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Abstract

Life expectancy become the main indicators of the health parameters in the population and development process. However, there is a relationship between life expectancy and growth which is represented by the inconsistency of previous studies. This study aims to reveal a linkage between life expectancy and economic growth, and analyzing factors that influence both of them. Two-Stage Least Square (2SLS) was used for simultaneous modelling equations to fill the existing literature gaps. Based on the 2SLS estimation relationship, it was found that there is a simultaneous relationship of life expectancy economic growth. Furthermore, it was found economic growth was significantly influenced by the decreasing dependency ratio, unemployment rate, and poverty. Furthermore, life expectancy is positively influenced by health spending and significantly decreases by the increased poverty rate. Therefore, mortality and carbon emissions had insignificant adverse effect. However, poverty and carbon emissions had a negative had insignificant adverse effect. This result suggests the government formulate policies to prioritize larger budget allocations in the education sector as a safety net program, cash transfers, and labor pensions.
印尼经济增长与预期寿命关系的确定:一个同时方程模型
预期寿命成为人口与发展过程中健康参数的主要指标。然而,预期寿命和增长之间存在着一种关系,这表现在先前研究的不一致性上。本研究旨在揭示预期寿命与经济增长之间的联系,并分析影响两者的因素。两阶段最小二乘法(2SLS)用于联立建模方程,以填补现有文献空白。基于2SLS估计关系,发现预期寿命与经济增长之间存在同步关系。此外,研究发现,经济增长受到抚养比、失业率和贫困率下降的显著影响。此外,预期寿命受到卫生支出的积极影响,并因贫困率的提高而显著下降。因此,死亡率和碳排放的不利影响微乎其微。然而,贫困和碳排放产生的负面影响微乎其微。这一结果表明,政府制定政策,优先考虑在教育部门增加预算拨款,将其作为安全网计划、现金转移和劳动养老金。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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