The January Anomaly and Anomalies in January

Steven Kozlowski, Alex Lytle
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Prior research finds that stocks earn significantly higher returns in January compared to other months, with the effect most often attributed to tax-motivated selloffs in December leading to price reversion in January. We examine how patterns in turn-of-the-year performance impact prominent return anomalies. We find that short-term reversals strengthen while momentum changes sign at the turn of the year, and such patterns are more pronounced following years of recession and poor market performance, consistent with tax-loss selling playing a key role. Although additional factors are likely to contribute to the overall effect, no significant change in anomaly performance occurs midyear, casting doubt on window-dressing as a primary driving force.
一月份的异常和一月份的异常
先前的研究发现,股市在1月份的回报率明显高于其他月份,这种效应最常被归因于12月份因税收而引发的抛售,导致股价在1月份出现回落。我们研究了年终表现的模式如何影响突出的回报异常。我们发现,当势头变化在年初出现时,短期逆转会加强,这种模式在多年的衰退和糟糕的市场表现之后更为明显,与税收损失抛售发挥关键作用相一致。虽然其他因素可能对整体影响有所贡献,但年中异常业绩没有显著变化,这让人怀疑粉饰账目是否是主要驱动力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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11
审稿时长
20 weeks
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