Identifying the characteristics of China’s maritime trading partners on the basis of bilateral shipping connectivity: a cluster analysis

IF 3.7 3区工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION

Maritime Policy & Management Pub Date : 2021-07-18 DOI:10.1080/03088839.2021.1954256

Naima Saeed, K. Cullinane

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引用次数: 4

Abstract

ABSTRACT China is ranked as the number one maritime connected country in the world. This study attempts to analyse the characteristics of its 155 maritime trading partners. Five components of maritime connectivity have been used for the analysis. A hierarchical clustering technique is applied to group the trading partners into distinct meaningful clusters. As China’s main maritime competitors within the East Asian region, the analysis is also applied to Singapore and Hong Kong. The clustering technique produces three distinct clusters for China and Singapore and two for Hong Kong. The results reveal the importance of direct maritime connectivity, with China having the highest number of trading partners with zero transhipment (including its top 15 trading partners), compared to Singapore and Hong Kong. The analysis is further extended by applying ordered logistic regression. The results show that the logistic performance index (LPI) and exports/imports have a positive and significant influence on clusters. Conclusions are drawn as to the potential for implementing strategies and policy interventions on the basis of the emergent clusters, particularly the need for Hong Kong to improve all five components of maritime connectivity in order to compete with China and Singapore.

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基于双边航运互联互通的中国海上贸易伙伴特征识别：聚类分析

中国是世界上海上连通最多的国家。本研究试图分析其155个海上贸易伙伴的特点。海上互联互通的五个组成部分被用于分析。采用层次聚类技术将贸易伙伴划分为不同的有意义的聚类。作为中国在东亚地区的主要海上竞争对手，该分析也适用于新加坡和香港。聚类技术为中国和新加坡产生了三个不同的集群，为香港产生了两个集群。结果显示了海上直接连通的重要性，与新加坡和香港相比，中国拥有最多的零转运贸易伙伴(包括其排名前15位的贸易伙伴)。应用有序逻辑回归进一步扩展了分析。结果表明，物流绩效指数(LPI)和出口/进口对集群具有显著的正向影响。本文总结了在新兴集群的基础上实施战略和政策干预的潜力，特别是香港需要改善海上连通性的所有五个组成部分，以便与中国和新加坡竞争。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Maritime Policy & Management TRANSPORTATION-

CiteScore

8.20

自引率

8.60%

发文量

期刊介绍： Thirty years ago maritime management decisions were taken on the basis of experience and hunch. Today, the experience is augmented by expert analysis and informed by research findings. Maritime Policy & Management provides the latest findings and analyses, and the opportunity for exchanging views through its Comment Section. A multi-disciplinary and international refereed journal, it brings together papers on the different topics that concern the maritime industry. Emphasis is placed on business, organizational, economic, sociolegal and management topics at port, community, shipping company and shipboard levels. The Journal also provides details of conferences and book reviews.