Updated Inventory and Projected Requirements for Specialist Physicians in Geriatrics.

IF 1.6 Q4 GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY

Canadian Geriatrics Journal Pub Date : 2021-09-01 DOI:10.5770/cgj.24.538

Monisha Basu, Tracy Cooper, Kelly Kay, David B Hogan, José A Morais, Frank Molnar, Robert E Lam, Michael J Borrie

{"title":"Updated Inventory and Projected Requirements for Specialist Physicians in Geriatrics.","authors":"Monisha Basu, Tracy Cooper, Kelly Kay, David B Hogan, José A Morais, Frank Molnar, Robert E Lam, Michael J Borrie","doi":"10.5770/cgj.24.538","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Background: The predicted growth of Canadians aged 65+ and the resultant rise in the demand for specialized geriatric services (SGS) requires physician resource planning. We updated the 2011 Canadian Geriatrics Society physician resource inventory and created projections for 2025 and 2030.Methods: The number and full-time equivalents (FTEs) of geriatricians and Care of the Elderly (COE) physicians working in SGS were determined. FTE counts for 2025 and 2030 were estimated by accounting for retirements and trainees. A ratio of 1.25/10,000 population 65+ was used to predict physician resource requirements.Results: Between 2011 and 2019 the number of geriatricians and COE physicians increased from 276 (235.8 FTEs) and 128 (89.9 FTEs), respectively, to 376 (319.6 FTEs) and 354 (115.5 FTEs). This increase did not keep pace with the 65+ population growth. The current gap between supply and need is expected to increase.Discussion: The physician supply gap is projected to widen in 2025 and 2030. Increased recruitment and interdisciplinary team-based care, supported by enhanced funding models, and full integration of COE physicians in SGS could reduce this increasing gap. In contrast to pediatrician supply in Canada, the specialist physician resources available to the population 65+ reflect a disparity.","PeriodicalId":56182,"journal":{"name":"Canadian Geriatrics Journal","volume":"24 3","pages":"200-208"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6000,"publicationDate":"2021-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://ftp.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pub/pmc/oa_pdf/9a/34/cgj-24-200.PMC8390327.pdf","citationCount":"6","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Canadian Geriatrics Journal","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.5770/cgj.24.538","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 6

Abstract

Background: The predicted growth of Canadians aged 65+ and the resultant rise in the demand for specialized geriatric services (SGS) requires physician resource planning. We updated the 2011 Canadian Geriatrics Society physician resource inventory and created projections for 2025 and 2030.

Methods: The number and full-time equivalents (FTEs) of geriatricians and Care of the Elderly (COE) physicians working in SGS were determined. FTE counts for 2025 and 2030 were estimated by accounting for retirements and trainees. A ratio of 1.25/10,000 population 65+ was used to predict physician resource requirements.

Results: Between 2011 and 2019 the number of geriatricians and COE physicians increased from 276 (235.8 FTEs) and 128 (89.9 FTEs), respectively, to 376 (319.6 FTEs) and 354 (115.5 FTEs). This increase did not keep pace with the 65+ population growth. The current gap between supply and need is expected to increase.

Discussion: The physician supply gap is projected to widen in 2025 and 2030. Increased recruitment and interdisciplinary team-based care, supported by enhanced funding models, and full integration of COE physicians in SGS could reduce this increasing gap. In contrast to pediatrician supply in Canada, the specialist physician resources available to the population 65+ reflect a disparity.

查看原文本刊更多论文

更新的清单和老年专科医生的预计需求。

背景:预计加拿大65岁以上人口的增长，以及由此导致的对老年专科服务(SGS)需求的上升，需要医生资源规划。我们更新了2011年加拿大老年医学会医师资源清单，并对2025年和2030年进行了预测。方法:对在SGS工作的老年病医师和老年护理医师(COE)的人数和专职当量(fte)进行统计。2025年和2030年的全职员工数是根据退休人员和受训人员计算的。使用1.25/10,000 65岁以上人口的比率来预测医生资源需求。结果:2011 - 2019年，老年病医师和COE医师的数量分别从276名(235.8名)和128名(89.9名)增加到376名(319.6名)和354名(115.5名)。这一增长没有跟上65岁以上人口的增长。目前供应和需求之间的差距预计会扩大。讨论:医生供应缺口预计将在2025年和2030年扩大。在加强资助模式的支持下，增加招聘和跨学科团队护理，并充分整合SGS的COE医生，可以缩小这一日益扩大的差距。与加拿大的儿科医生供应相比，65岁以上人口的专科医生资源反映出差距。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

求助全文

约1分钟内获得全文求助全文

来源期刊

Canadian Geriatrics Journal Nursing-Gerontology

CiteScore

5.20

自引率

0.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： The Canadian Geriatrics Journal (CGJ) is a peer-reviewed publication that is a home for innovative aging research of a high quality aimed at improving the health and the care provided to older persons residing in Canada and outside our borders. While we gratefully accept submissions from researchers outside our country, we are committed to encouraging aging research by Canadians. The CGJ is targeted to family physicians with training or an interest in the care of older persons, specialists in geriatric medicine, geriatric psychiatrists, and members of other health disciplines with a focus on gerontology.