Four great Asian trade collapses

0 ECONOMICS
Alan de Bromhead, Alan Fernihough, Markus Lampe, Kevin Hjortshøj O'Rourke
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Abstract

This paper introduces a new dataset of commodity-specific, bilateral import data for four large Asian economies in the interwar period: China, the Dutch East Indies, India and Japan. It uses these data to describe the interwar trade collapses in the economies concerned. These resembled the post-2008 Great Trade Collapse in some respects but not in others: they occurred along the intensive margin, imports of cars were particularly badly affected, and imports of durable goods fell by more than those of non-durables, except in China and India which were rapidly industrialising. On the other hand the import declines were geographically imbalanced, while prices were more important than quantities in driving the overall collapse.

Abstract Image

亚洲四大贸易崩溃
本文介绍了一个新的数据集,其中包含了四个大型亚洲经济体在两次世界大战之间的特定商品双边进口数据:中国、荷属东印度群岛、印度和日本。它使用这些数据来描述有关经济体在两次世界大战之间的贸易崩溃。这些危机在某些方面类似于2008年后的贸易大崩溃(Great Trade Collapse),但在其他方面则不同:它们发生在集约化边缘,汽车进口受到的影响尤为严重,耐用品进口降幅超过非耐用品进口降幅,但正在快速工业化的中国和印度除外。另一方面,进口下降在地理上是不平衡的,而在推动整体崩溃方面,价格比数量更重要。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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