Sultan Yahya, Abdullah Alabousi, Peri Abdullah, Milita Ramonas
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引用次数: 2
Abstract
Purpose: To discern whether preceding ultrasound (US) results, patient demographics and biochemical markers can be implemented as predictors of an abnormal Magnetic Resonance Cholangiopancreatography (MRCP) study in the context of acute pancreaticobiliary disease.
Methods: A retrospective study was performed assessing US results, age, gender, elevated lipase and biliary enzymes for consecutive patients who underwent an urgent MRCP following an initial US for acute pancreaticobiliary disease between January 2017-December 2018. Multivariable binary logistic regression models were constructed to assess for predictors of clinically significant MRCPs, and discrepant US/MRCP results.
Results: A total of 155 patients (mean age 56, 111 females) were included. Age (OR 1.03, P < 0.05), hyperlipasemia (OR 5.33, P < 0.05) and a positive US (OR 40.75, P < 0.05) were found to be independent predictors for a subsequent abnormal MRCP. Contrarily, gender and elevated biliary enzymes were not reliable predictors of an abnormal MRCP, or significant MRCP/US discrepancies. Of 66 cases (43%) of discordant US/MRCPs, half had clinically significant discrepant findings such as newly discovered choledocholithiasis and pancreaticobiliary neoplasia. Age was the sole predictor for a significant US/MRCP discrepancy, with 2% increase in the odds of a significant discrepancy per year of increase in age.
Conclusion: An abnormal US, hyperlipasemia and increased age serve as predictors for a subsequent abnormal MRCP, as opposed to gender and biliary enzyme elevation. Age was the sole predictor of a significant US/MRCP discrepancy that provided new information which significantly impacted subsequent management. In the remaining cases, however, MRCP proved useful in reaffirming the clinical diagnosis and avoiding further investigations.
目的:探讨术前超声(US)结果、患者人口统计学和生化指标是否可以作为急性胰胆管疾病背景下磁共振胆管造影(MRCP)异常研究的预测指标。方法:一项回顾性研究评估了2017年1月至2018年12月期间因急性胰胆管疾病首次进行US后连续接受紧急MRCP的患者的US结果、年龄、性别、脂肪酶和胆道酶升高。构建多变量二元logistic回归模型来评估临床显著MRCP的预测因素,以及US/MRCP结果的差异。结果:共纳入155例患者,平均年龄56岁,女性111例。年龄(OR 1.03, P < 0.05)、高脂血症(OR 5.33, P < 0.05)和US阳性(OR 40.75, P < 0.05)是后续MRCP异常的独立预测因素。相反,性别和胆道酶升高并不是MRCP异常或MRCP/US显著差异的可靠预测因素。在66例(43%)不一致的US/MRCPs中,有一半有临床显著差异的发现,如新发现的胆总管结石和胰胆管瘤变。年龄是US/MRCP显著差异的唯一预测因素,年龄每增加一年显著差异的几率增加2%。结论:与性别和胆道酶升高相反,异常US、高脂血症和年龄增加可作为后续MRCP异常的预测因素。年龄是US/MRCP差异的唯一预测因子,它提供了新的信息,显著影响了后续的管理。然而,在其余病例中,MRCP被证明有助于重申临床诊断并避免进一步的调查。