H7N9 not only endanger human health but also hit stock marketing.

Advances in disease control and prevention Pub Date : 2017-01-01 Epub Date: 2017-05-30 DOI:10.25196/adcp201711

Yan Jiang, Yi Zhang, Chunna Ma, Quanyi Wang, Chao Xu, Connor Donovan, Gholam Ali, Tan Xu, Wenjie Sun

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引用次数: 28

Abstract

Objective: This study aims to discuss the correlation between daily reported H7N9 cases and stock price indices in China.

Methods: Information on daily reported H7N9 cases and stock market sectors indices between February 19, 2013 and March 31, 2014 were collected. A distributed lag non-linear model was used to describe the variation trend for the stock indices.

Results: The daily reported number of H7N9 cases was associated with the closing price of the Avian Influenza Sector Index (P < 0.05) and the opening price of the Shanghai Composite Index (P = 0.029). The Avian Influenza Sector Index decreased with increasing of daily reported case number when daily reported cases ≤ 4. Case number was associated with the opening/closing price of the Chinese Traditional Medicine Sector Index, the Biological Product Sector Index, and the Biomedicine Sector Index (P < 0.05).

Conclusion: New or reemerging infectious diseases epidemic cause economic loss which is reflected in movements in stock prices.

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H7N9不仅危害人类健康，也打击了股市。

目的:探讨中国H7N9日报告病例数与股票价格指数的相关性。方法:收集2013年2月19日- 2014年3月31日H7N9日报告病例及股票市场板块指数信息。采用分布滞后非线性模型来描述股票指数的变化趋势。结果:H7N9日报告病例数与禽流感行业指数收盘价格(P < 0.05)和上证综合指数开盘价格(P = 0.029)相关。当日报告病例数≤4时，禽流感分类指数随日报告病例数的增加而降低。病例数与中药板块指数、生物制品板块指数、生物医药板块指数的开盘价/收盘价相关(P < 0.05)。结论:新发或再发传染病的流行造成经济损失，反映在股票价格的变动上。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Advances in disease control and prevention

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