{"title":"The effect of abortion legalization on sexual behavior: evidence from sexually transmitted diseases.","authors":"Jonathan Klick, Thomas Stratmann","doi":"10.1086/377049","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Unwanted pregnancy represents a major cost of sexual activity. When abortion was legalized in a number of states in 1969 and 1970 (and nationally in 1973), this cost was reduced. We predict that abortion legalization generated incentives leading to an increase in sexual activity, accompanied by an increase in sexually transmitted diseases (STDs). Using Centers for Disease Control data on the incidence of gonorrhea and syphilis by state, we test the hypothesis that abortion legalization led to an increase in sexually transmitted diseases. We find that gonorrhea and syphilis incidences are significantly and positively correlated with abortion legalization. Further, we find a divergence in STD rates among early legalizing states and late legalizing states starting in 1970 and a subsequent convergence after the Roe v. Wade decision, indicating that the relation between STDs and abortion is casual. Abortion legalization accounts for about one-fourth of the average disease incidence.</p>","PeriodicalId":515223,"journal":{"name":"The Journal of Legal Studies","volume":"32 2","pages":"407-33"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2003-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1086/377049","citationCount":"49","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"The Journal of Legal Studies","FirstCategoryId":"90","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1086/377049","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 49
Abstract
Unwanted pregnancy represents a major cost of sexual activity. When abortion was legalized in a number of states in 1969 and 1970 (and nationally in 1973), this cost was reduced. We predict that abortion legalization generated incentives leading to an increase in sexual activity, accompanied by an increase in sexually transmitted diseases (STDs). Using Centers for Disease Control data on the incidence of gonorrhea and syphilis by state, we test the hypothesis that abortion legalization led to an increase in sexually transmitted diseases. We find that gonorrhea and syphilis incidences are significantly and positively correlated with abortion legalization. Further, we find a divergence in STD rates among early legalizing states and late legalizing states starting in 1970 and a subsequent convergence after the Roe v. Wade decision, indicating that the relation between STDs and abortion is casual. Abortion legalization accounts for about one-fourth of the average disease incidence.
意外怀孕是性行为的主要代价。1969年和1970年,堕胎在一些州合法化(1973年在全国合法化),这一成本降低了。我们预测,堕胎合法化产生的激励导致性活动增加,同时性传播疾病(性病)增加。利用疾病控制中心各州淋病和梅毒发病率的数据,我们检验了堕胎合法化导致性传播疾病增加的假设。我们发现淋病和梅毒的发病率与堕胎合法化呈显著正相关。此外,我们发现,从1970年开始,在早期合法化的州和晚期合法化的州之间,性病发病率存在差异,并在罗伊诉韦德案(Roe v. Wade)判决后趋于一致,这表明性病与堕胎之间的关系是偶然的。堕胎合法化约占平均疾病发病率的四分之一。