[Some predictions of possible changes in the mortality of Bulgarian men by the year 2000].

Abstract

"Dynamic sequences of general mortality rates of Bulgarian men for the period 1964-1991 are represented. Trends are evaluated by the statistical significance of linear regression coefficients of every sequence. Trends of mortality rates by [social] classes...are also represented. It is found...that the general mortality of Bulgarian men as well as their mortality from practically all leading causes had significantly increased during the period.... Based on these trends, the author foresees that today's regimen of male mortality in Bulgaria most probably will remain unchanged at least till the end of the current century...." (SUMMARY IN ENG AND RUS)