Estimation of adult mortality from paternal orphanhood: a reassessment and a new approach.

I M Timaeus
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Abstract

"This article proposes a new procedure for estimating men's mortality from paternal orphanhood which generally yields more accurate results than the existing approach. A procedure for estimating mortality from maternal orphanhood data based on consistent assumptions is also presented. The theory underlying these methods is outlined.... The article also points out an error made in the tabulation of the weighting factors used until now to estimate mortality from paternal orphanhood. Investigations using simulated data are presented which support the theoretical arguments that suggest that the paternal orphanhood method is more robust than has often been assumed and which confirm that the new approach usually produces more accurate estimates than the weighting factors."

估算父亲孤儿的成人死亡率:重新评估与新方法。
“这篇文章提出了一个估算父亲孤儿造成的男性死亡率的新程序,它通常比现有的方法产生更准确的结果。还提出了一种基于一致假设的估计孕产妇孤儿数据死亡率的程序。下面概述了这些方法背后的理论....文章还指出了迄今为止用于估计父亲孤儿死亡率的加权因子的制表所犯的一个错误。使用模拟数据进行的调查支持理论论点,表明父亲孤儿方法比通常假设的更可靠,并证实新方法通常比加权因素产生更准确的估计。”
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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