[Population forecasts 1996: less population growth, increased aging].

J De Beer
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Abstract

"According to the new national population forecasts for the Netherlands for the period 1996-2050, the population size will continue to grow for another three decades. It will reach a maximum of 17.2 million, lower than the maximum according to the previous population forecasts.... The reason for this lower growth is that the assumption with respect to the future level of fertility is revised downwards.... Another adjustment of the forecasts is the assumption that life expectancy at birth will continue to increase until 2050, whereas in the previous forecasts life expectancy was held constant after 2010.... As a consequence of these revised assumptions the percentage of elderly people will increase more strongly." (SUMMARY IN ENG)

[1996年人口预测:人口增长减少,老龄化加剧]。
“根据1996年至2050年期间荷兰新的全国人口预测,人口规模将继续增长三十年。最多将达到1720万,低于此前人口预测的最大值....这种低增长的原因是关于未来生育率水平的假设被向下修正....预测的另一个调整是假设出生时的预期寿命将持续增加到2050年,而在之前的预测中,预期寿命在2010年之后保持不变....由于这些修改后的假设,老年人的比例将会更加强劲地增长。”(英文摘要)
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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