Why high levels of net migration present problems for unemployment and external debt stabilisation.

People and place Pub Date : 1996-01-01
W Mitchell
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Abstract

"Unemployment [in Australia] is affected by two factors: increases in the productivity of labour and increases in its supply. Both of these factors could, in principle, be offset by strong economic growth. But, if the economy grows fast enough to accommodate both productivity gains and the addition of migrants to the labour force, it will draw in more imports and the balance of trade will deteriorate. Economic growth of around two per cent per annum may be all that we can sustain without increasing our foreign debt. This level of economic growth is not enough to reduce unemployment in the face of any net immigration (or any growth in labour productivity)."

为什么高水平的净移民会给失业和外债稳定带来问题?
“(澳大利亚的)失业受到两个因素的影响:劳动生产率的提高和劳动力供应的增加。原则上,这两个因素都可以被强劲的经济增长所抵消。但是,如果经济增长足够快,能够同时适应生产率的提高和农民工的增加,它将吸引更多的进口,贸易平衡将恶化。在不增加外债的情况下,我们可能只能维持每年百分之二左右的经济增长。面对任何净移民(或任何劳动生产率的增长),这种经济增长水平不足以降低失业率。”
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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