Alternative population projection scenarios by education attainment for Egypt, the Sudan and Tunisia.

Population bulletin of ESCWA Pub Date : 1995-01-01
H M Yousif, A A Hammouda
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Abstract

"This paper presents alternative population projections for Egypt, the Sudan and Tunisia using the scenario approach developed at the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis. Its primary objective is to show how education attainment and policies influence the future population patterns in these countries.... Section I gives a brief presentation of the scenario approach. Sections II and III show fertility and mortality conditions in Egypt, the Sudan and Tunisia.... Section V presents the stands of Governments on population policies and in shaping future population patterns. We [then] present our assumptions, scenario setting and projection results...."

埃及、苏丹和突尼斯按教育程度分列的人口预测情景。
“本文利用国际应用系统分析研究所开发的情景方法,提出了埃及、苏丹和突尼斯的其他人口预测。其主要目标是显示教育程度和政策如何影响这些国家未来的人口格局....第1节简要介绍了场景方法。第二和第三节显示埃及、苏丹和突尼斯的生育率和死亡率情况....第五节介绍各国政府在人口政策和形成未来人口格局方面的立场。我们(然后)提出我们的假设、情景设定和预测结果....”
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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