[Projection of primary school enrollments for the Taiwan-Fukien area, 1983-1987].

Abstract

A projection of the population of school age in Taiwan is presented for the period 1983 to 1987. Special emphasis is given to the effects of recent fertility trends on educational needs. The projections include information on "(1) births corresponding to each academic year, (2) the survival ratio from birth to age at entrance, (3) projections of the grade 1 enrollments, (4) estimates of median grade-to-grade progression ratios, (5) primary school enrollments at each grade, (6) annual increase of students, (7) annual increase in number of classes, and (8) annual increase of teachers." The implications for future government spending are considered. Changes in educational plans to conform to available resources are discussed. (summary in ENG)