Direct estimates of prevalent HIV infection in adults in England and Wales for 1991 and 1993: an improved method.

Genitourinary Medicine Pub Date : 1997-10-01 DOI:10.1136/sti.73.5.348

A Petruckevitch, A Nicoll, A M Johnson, D Bennett

{"title":"Direct estimates of prevalent HIV infection in adults in England and Wales for 1991 and 1993: an improved method.","authors":"A Petruckevitch, A Nicoll, A M Johnson, D Bennett","doi":"10.1136/sti.73.5.348","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Objective: To estimate the number of prevalent HIV infections in England and Wales at the end of 1991 and 1993.Method: A direct method was used whereby population estimates derived from the National Survey of Sexual Attitudes and Lifestyle (NATSAL) and prevalence data from the Unlinked Anonymous HIV Prevalence Monitoring Programme (UAPMP) were combined to produce estimates of the number of adults infected and alive in the population.Results: In the population of England and Wales the numbers of prevalent infections for defined transmission categories, at the end of 1993, were as follows: 12,600 through sex between men, 2500 through injecting drug use, and 6900 through heterosexual intercourse. The overall estimate was 22,800 HIV seropositive individuals.Conclusions: The direct method attempts to provide an estimate of the number of HIV infections using population based survey data. These estimates are consistent with other approaches using independent methods. Such methods are essential for inferring recent HIV incidence, projecting future AIDS cases, and for healthcare planning.","PeriodicalId":12621,"journal":{"name":"Genitourinary Medicine","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"1997-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1136/sti.73.5.348","citationCount":"23","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Genitourinary Medicine","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1136/sti.73.5.348","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 23

Abstract

Objective: To estimate the number of prevalent HIV infections in England and Wales at the end of 1991 and 1993.

Method: A direct method was used whereby population estimates derived from the National Survey of Sexual Attitudes and Lifestyle (NATSAL) and prevalence data from the Unlinked Anonymous HIV Prevalence Monitoring Programme (UAPMP) were combined to produce estimates of the number of adults infected and alive in the population.

Results: In the population of England and Wales the numbers of prevalent infections for defined transmission categories, at the end of 1993, were as follows: 12,600 through sex between men, 2500 through injecting drug use, and 6900 through heterosexual intercourse. The overall estimate was 22,800 HIV seropositive individuals.

Conclusions: The direct method attempts to provide an estimate of the number of HIV infections using population based survey data. These estimates are consistent with other approaches using independent methods. Such methods are essential for inferring recent HIV incidence, projecting future AIDS cases, and for healthcare planning.

查看原文本刊更多论文

1991年和1993年英格兰和威尔士成年人普遍感染艾滋病毒的直接估计:改进的方法。

目的:估计1991年底和1993年底英格兰和威尔士流行的艾滋病毒感染人数。方法:采用直接方法，将来自全国性态度和生活方式调查(NATSAL)的人口估计数和来自无关联匿名艾滋病毒流行监测方案(UAPMP)的流行率数据相结合，得出人口中感染和存活的成年人人数估计数。结果:1993年年底，在英格兰和威尔士人口中，按确定的传播类别流行的感染人数如下:12600人通过男子间性行为感染，2500人通过注射毒品感染，6900人通过异性性交感染。总体估计为22800名艾滋病毒血清阳性个体。结论:直接法试图利用基于人口的调查数据提供艾滋病毒感染人数的估计。这些估计与使用独立方法的其他方法一致。这些方法对于推断最近的艾滋病毒发病率、预测未来的艾滋病病例和医疗保健规划至关重要。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

求助全文

约1分钟内获得全文求助全文

来源期刊

Genitourinary Medicine

自引率

0.00%

发文量