Higher model for end-stage liver disease excluding international normalized ratio scores predict worse kidney graft outcomes in simultaneous heart-kidney transplantation.

Marco E Diaz-Cordova, Matthew Rega, Ishani Sharma, Ryosuke Misawa, Abhay Dhand, Seigo Nishida, Kenji Okumura
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Abstract

Background: While the model for end-stage liver disease excluding international normalized ratio (MELD-XI) is known to be associated with adverse outcomes following cardiac surgery and heart transplantation, its predictive value in outcomes of simultaneous heart-kidney transplant (SHKT) remains unclear. To identify a reliable pre-transplant risk marker for graft and patient survival among SHKT recipients, we hypothesized that higher MELD-XI scores are linked to worse post-transplant outcomes.

Aim: To determine the association between MELD-XI and post-transplant outcomes in SHKT recipients.

Methods: We performed a retrospective cohort study in adult SHKT recipients using the United Network for Organ Sharing database from 2014 to 2023. MELD-XI was calculated and categorized into tertiles (high, medium and low). Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models and generalized additive models were used to evaluate the association between MELD-XI and patient mortality and kidney graft failure.

Results: Among the cohort of 2148 SHKT recipients the MELD-XI tertile distribution was: High (11%), medium (56%), and low (36%). Statistically significant differences among recipients in the highest tertile were seen and they were younger, more frequently female, had higher rates of dialysis, and shorter waitlist times. Recipients in the higher MELD-XI tertile also had significant increase in the delayed kidney graft function and longer hospital stays after transplantation. On multivariable analysis, MELD-XI independently predicted increase in 90-day graft failure, and 1-year graft failure and mortality.

Conclusion: Higher MELD-XI is associated with increased early mortality and kidney graft failure in SHKT recipients. MELD-XI can provide an objective risk-stratification tool to help identify candidates who should undergo SHKT vs kidney-after-heart transplantation.

排除国际标准化比率评分的终末期肝病较高模型预测同时进行心肾移植的肾移植预后较差。
背景:虽然不包括国际标准化比率(MELD-XI)的终末期肝病模型已知与心脏手术和心脏移植后的不良后果相关,但其对同时进行心脏肾移植(SHKT)的预后的预测价值仍不清楚。为了确定SHKT受者移植前和移植后患者生存的可靠风险标志物,我们假设MELD-XI评分越高,移植后预后越差。目的:确定MELD-XI与SHKT受者移植后预后之间的关系。方法:我们使用联合器官共享网络数据库对2014年至2023年的成人SHKT受者进行了回顾性队列研究。计算MELD-XI并将其分为高、中、低三种等级。使用多变量Cox比例风险模型和广义加性模型来评估MELD-XI与患者死亡率和肾移植衰竭之间的关系。结果:在2148名SHKT接受者队列中,MELD-XI的分位数分布为:高(11%)、中(56%)和低(36%)。在最高水平的受赠者中有统计学上的显著差异,他们更年轻,更常见的是女性,有更高的透析率,更短的等待时间。MELD-XI水平较高的受者在移植后延迟的肾移植功能和更长的住院时间也显著增加。在多变量分析中,MELD-XI独立预测了90天移植物衰竭、1年移植物衰竭和死亡率的增加。结论:较高的MELD-XI与SHKT受者早期死亡率和肾移植衰竭增加有关。MELD-XI可以提供客观的风险分层工具,帮助确定应该接受SHKT和心脏后肾移植的候选人。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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